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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (23701)5/29/2000 12:10:00 PM
From: Oak Tree  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42787
 
Donald, wise comments. While we all hope the belief that "once people all believe we are in a bear market, we are probably near the low", and since everyone on the news says we are in a bear market (how short their memory when just 3 mo ago we were in the biggest bull market of all time). We may very well be near the lows. A bear market, as you say, is one that has poor fundamentals in addition to a downtrend of the DOW. They take, again as you said, a decade to recover. People are thinking that this "bear market" will stabilize over a few months and then recover. That is not a bear, it is a correction.

As you say, 10% is a correction, 20% is a bear, is probably old rules. New rules are probably 10% is usual, 20% is a correction, and it takes 30% to 40% on companies that produce profits (not dot coms) to make a bear. When unemployment is at an all time low, that is not a bear.