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To: SJS who wrote (10681)5/31/2000 6:37:00 PM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
EdgarOnline has full prospectus for ETEK merger:
edgar-online.com



To: SJS who wrote (10681)6/1/2000 10:57:00 AM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
SJS:Barron?s :The Granville Market letter

From Barron?s this week

Marketwatch:

From Joe Granville. A man who has sen a lot of Bull and
Bear markets,

" In 1994 and 1995 the Fed raised rates seven times
but the stock market had already turned up before it was
through tightening. . . .
"

TA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
interactive.wsj.com
The Granville Market Letter
P.O. Drawer 413006, Kansas City, Mo. 64141

May 18 ~ Webster defines a paradox as
''a tenet contrary to received opinion; also, an assertion or
sentiment seemingly contradictory, or opposed to common sense,
but that yet may be true in fact.''. . .

The paradox is simply this:
Currently there are two schools of thought regarding the
current A/D [advance/decline] line.

One is dead right and the other is dead wrong.

On the one hand, we have some bears who contend that the
A/D line in its current position will end up dragging down
all the major indexes with it.
On the other hand, some bulls contend that the A/D line has
bottomed and is about to rise and eventually recover.

While the bears think that that is opposed to common sense,
it may yet be true in fact.

The bulls have history on their side.

As bad as the A/D line looked at the end of 1994, it was
followed by a full recovery rather than the fall I had
expected at that time. . .

.The current chart of the advance/decline line. . ..looks
very much like that 1994 chart.


I am not going to make the same mistake twice.

Not only are the two charts almost identical, but we also
have a very interesting parallel with what the Federal
Reserve was doing.
In 1994 and 1995 the Fed raised rates seven times but
the stock market had already turned up before it was through tightening. . . .
The Dow bottomed in December 1994 under 4000 while the Fed
continued to raise rates.

It wasn't until July 1995 that rates were lowered.


-JOSEPH E. GRANVILLE