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To: Dr. Id who wrote (7885)6/1/2000 1:03:00 PM
From: edamo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8096
 
dr. id....perhaps the proper question is: "what is truly a stock of a high pe to own"....

think the recent market tremors have proven that issues with perhaps a strong market presence, but in reality a small cap(revenue/profit wise), get hammered rather substantially....

putting the stock valuation aside, and consider the reality of business, much more difficult for a company with 100m or less of sales to ride out an economic downturn, then a company with 50b in sales....at some point the reality affects earnings....

the intc, csco, msft, et al are ltb+h types, but appears a great deal of harm was done to those who read the "book" and tried to apply past proven parameters to discovery of new market leaders....hype overcame reality....



To: Dr. Id who wrote (7885)6/1/2000 1:04:00 PM
From: PAL  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8096
 
I disagree that ltb and h as mastered by Buffett wouldn't work with the high pe stocks...I think it greatly depends on the stock.

for every csco, we can also show qcom at 200. how long will it take for qcom to reach a new high? buffett is from the old school, pre- pc, pre-internet, his unwillingness to learn the new world has hurt him badly.

let us list the environment we are currently in:

-daytraders
-powerful words from analysts who can swing the entire market up to 10% in one day
-rumors such as china unicom, correctly of incorrectly printed by wsj
-cnbc/cnn/fox/bloomberg
-hedge funds
-chat arenas
-alan greenspan
-etc.

the method of investing has drastically changed because of the above. A g/k might not be g/k forever, it gets old, and a new young blood would emerge. look at ibm, msft, att etc to name a few. it is easy to be ltb/h msft ten years ago, how about a few months ago. the fundamentals have not changed although there is a cloud overhead. look at the irony, msft dropped 5% just because one analyst stated that the breakup value is less than whole. and dan niles, he moved the market on monday, simply because he moved to lehman.

i am still wondering what happened to that suggestion of buying elon at 90+, go on margin, and sell cc to get some good return. it was a method used to help a lady in distress. i hope there was a happy ending, and would someone share the follow up.

best to you.

paul