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To: HairBall who wrote (54146)6/14/2000 9:01:00 PM
From: Follies  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 

Interest rates, productivity, equity PE ratios, business/consumer indebtedness...these relationships eventually equalize...always!


Interest rates are a monetary effect controlled by the issuing authority, I won't argue with that

Productivity however is a different matter. Productivity is governed by advances in technology. People dont work harder today than they did years ago. Machines do however. And productivity gains are never given back. Once we learn how to do something cheaper, faster , better, we never forget that and go back to doing it the old way.

So the question is, Is there a cap on productivity gains? Can they only grow at 5 or 10% per year or can productivity grow 5% this year , 6% next year, 7% the following.

Remember Moores law has held for over 20 years AND the rate of doubling is actually increasing!