To: johnzhang who wrote (26822 ) 6/26/2000 4:12:00 PM From: Apollo Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
Sndk, gorilla criteria......Am I right that SNDK can become a gorilla only if CompactFlash becomes the standard/default flash memory card? yep, that's largely right. 1. Prefer an open, proprietary architecture 2. Need a tornado(es)........we have this now. 3. Discontinuous innovation......yep, CF is truly better than film, cassette tape, vhs, etc. 4. High switching costs.......yep, CF is expensive to the consumer, and if many types of electronic devices rely on CF, then why change? 5. Strong value chain formation.....yep, this is developing. 6. High barriers to entry......not clear on this yet. The SmartMedia card is a privately labeled product purchased from Toshiba to round out the product line.Message 13808089 "The final viable competitors are non-CompactFlash/non-MMC flash form factors. Included in this category is SmartMedia and the Sony Memory Stick. Because the SmartMedia card will be a FlashVision product, SanDisk is likely to benefit from the continued sale of SmartMedia. The general trend has been for increasing CompactFlash and MMC design-in wins a the expense of SmartMedia. As such, SmartMedia poses a diminishing threat to SanDisk. Likewise, The Sony Memory Stick, essentially a duplicative flash form factor which has no enhancements or advantages when compared to CompactFlash, is struggling for design-ins. In the final analysis it also remains unclear how Sony will manufacture Memory Stick given their relative lack of experience in flash memory design and lack of flash chip manufacturing capacity. It is not beyond the realm of possibility that Sony may become a FlashVision customer in the future. Currently they have expressed an interest in partnering with Lexar Media for the production of Memory Stick. Because Lexar also has no flash memory fabrication capacity this relationship may offer limited production capacity to Sony.'