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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (55358)	6/26/2000 6:13:00 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

In order to perpetuate the nirvana state, they'll need to continue to run the huge trade deficits and recycle $ 500-600 billion into the market every year. At the current rate, foreigners would own $ 8 trillion in US investments in 10 years.

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (55358)	6/26/2000 6:31:00 PM
From: Tunica Albuginea	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Heinz: The Dems are currently springing on the Republicans The Ultimate Democrat Bear-Market Trap. Here's how it works: The Dems sell the Republicans the idea that we have endless, yearly, budget surpluses; " ergo " " we can now afford a new 50+ year program to pay for a few pills " for a worthy cause. ( all disasters begun with honorable intentions ). The Republicans bite. Maybe they and G.Bush get an election push from that and get elected. Soon however we tank . 10 year old bull is tired. The Economy and tax receipts disappear. The Dems en masse point the blame finger on Bush + Republicans ." It happened on your watch ". In 2 years Congress goes from Republican to Democrat, in the middle of a deep depression. In 4 years Bush is out. Dems now control presidency and Congress. Multiple "Programs to help the people in recession " are enacted. Taxes " must be raised " to pay for that, ( good rationale ). Country goes into deeper funk as taxes put the Economy from oxygen by nasal cannula to endotracheal intubation, on the ventilator, on artificial life support. The whole thing gets put on another atrificial tax support and deep freeze for 50 years ". Sound familiar? Or as Santayanna said: "Those that don't learn from history are bound to repeat it, TA Message #55358 from heinz blasnik at Jun 26, 2000 6:06 PM ET TA, this reminds me of the predictions of enormous budget deficits as far as the eye could see, forever and ever, predicted as recently as ten years ago. grandiose predictions have a habit of disappointing as it were. this one about the 'staggering' surplus is especially suspect. it is contingent on the good times becoming a quasi-permanent feature, and not even the most prediction-happy dismal scientists can say anything about the future with any degree of accuracy. in fact, since most economists seem remarkably unanimous about keeping their rose-tinted forward-looking glasses firmly glued in place, Utopia's arrival will likely be once again postponed due to as-of-yet not visible flies in the ointment... regards, hb