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Non-Tech : Auric Goldfinger's Short List -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)7/1/2000 7:12:38 AM
From: Mr. Pink  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19428
 
You should throw this bufoon off your thread. He spouts mindless gibberish which consists of reading tea leaves and and readind the excrement left behind by homeless incontinent vagrants that wander the streets of San Francisco like so many zombies.

Message 13808368

He was big fan of crimco ACRT.

Mr. P$nk



To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)7/2/2000 6:52:04 PM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19428
 
I Would Be Interested Learning More About Your Experience With EOQ Tape Painting

Looking at the trading Friday leaves little doubt that tape painting is fairly prevalent. Not to diminish the value of the list your provided, I would think that your comment about the stocks having a high probability of declining below today's closing price probably applies to a fair number of the stocks which closed higher Friday, particularly when those gains occurred in the last 30 minutes of the day.

NEWP, another stock which I have been following, was particularly strong at the end of the day.

My questions concern the resources which are committed to a positive outcome, as well as typical behavior in the days following the End of the Quarter.

It would seem that the best time to sell shares in companies that are tape painting candidates is in the last half hour or the last day. Have you, or are you aware of any traders, who have engaged in large scale selling into this activity. Do you have a sense of the scale of resources that are available to ensure a successful result?

I assume that the individuals who have the greatest interest in a high EOQ share price are mutual fund managers. Are they the actual purchaser's during this time period or is their collaboration between themselves and the market makers?

How would you expect "the market" to respond if it found a significantly greater number of sellers than was anticipated?

It would appear that particularly on the NASDAQ the share price could be increased without actually having to purchase a significant number of shares because of the way in which (or lack there of) sales imbalances are resolved. I would imagine that increases of this type resolve towards the mean fairly quickly, providing few sellers with the opportunity to actually sell at the high prices, which printed at the end of the day, anytime thereafter.

On the other hand, if the purchases are in fact planned fund purchases, with the intent that the shares purchased are retained; the time frame for price resolution might be longer.

I would be interested in your actual experience with this type of activity.

End of Quarter and End of Month tape painting has been one of the few market actions that is both generally anticipated and consistently occurring. It is really as tradable as it seems?



To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)7/2/2000 7:32:02 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19428
 
Random musings

Believe it or not, Zap.com is still around. As you may recall, Zapata (NYSE: ZAP), better known as a fish protein company, tried to buy Excite and build an Internet empire in 1998. As soon as Zapata had some partners lined up, it bailed on its plan.

In early 1999, Zap.com returned. On Monday, Zap.com reported a first quarter loss of $3.1 million on no revenue. The company's biggest accomplishment was registering 20 million shares to lure potential partners. Zap.com is building out its business and cooking up something called the ZapBox interface.

We've been waiting two years for this alleged portal player to build out its business. By the way, Zap.com trades these days over the counter under the ZPCM ticker.

zdii.com



To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)7/3/2000 2:07:36 PM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19428
 
Does a gain or loss today change the underlying probability that one of the issues you identified has a loss during the remainder of the week?

If not, would it make sense to sell, on Wednesday, the issues with the greatest price increases today?

As you probably know, the total portfolio gained (from a short sale basis assumed to have been made at the opening price) .47% today. TANN gained the most at 16.23%, followed by LNTE at 8.43%. REMC, for today only, would have had the poorest performance with a loss of -5.73%, followed by SPYG at -5.22.



To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)7/3/2000 7:18:04 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 19428
 
Hey Auric, duhd..

tremendous call on TANN, at least... how much is 20c after tax (!)... that can be some bucks on a DCF basis....

not only te Eoq propping but real discount possible here, see:

biz.yahoo.com

Tanning Tech says loses British Sky Bcstg contract
NEW YORK, July 3 (Reuters) - Information technology services company Tanning Technology Corp. (NasdaqNM:TANN - news) said on Monday it would take a $5.8 million charge after reaching an agreement to end a fixed-price contract with British Sky Broadcasting Ltd. (quote from Yahoo! UK & Ireland: BSY.L).

The company said in a statement the loss of the contract would dilute its second-quarter earnings by 20 cents per share after tax.

Before the announcement, forecasting firm First Call Thomson Financial listed its consensus estimate for Tanning's second quarter as a profit of 4 cents per share.

``Our marketplace in both Europe and North America remains strong,'' chief executive Larry Tanning said in a statement. ``Our pipeline reflects robust demand for e-Business integration and solutions for B2B (business to business) marketplaces. This decision does not impact our plans for future growth.''

Tanning's shares closed down 3-1/8 at 16-1/8 on Monday on the Nasdaq stock market. The shares have traded between 11-3/8 and 71-1/8 in the past year.

also see: biz.yahoo.com
___________________
Yesss.... the marketplace.... remains strong but we didn't deliver.....!



To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who wrote (5340)8/5/2000 11:15:50 AM
From: DWCraig  Respond to of 19428
 
SOPHOMAURIC, Let's take one of your old calls and put it to the test. Here's one of your posts on this thread. I've added in the results in italics next to each pick, and highlighted your winners in bold:

To: UnBelievable who wrote (5339)
From: Auric Goldfinger
Friday, Jun 30, 2000 4:26 PM ET
Reply # of 5472

Most of the time I am, thanks. Here are the Mark-it On Close MO stocks that have a hgih probabilty of declining below today's closing price in the
next 4 trading sessions based upon the intensive work done by our Cray computer:

TANN [19.25 to 13.625] Good call!
DCTM [89.375 to 92.125]
PROX [98.9688 to 98.125]Good call!
FFIV [54.5625 to 44] Good call!
LNTE [20.4375 to 21.125]
LPTHA [LPTH? 39.8125 to 36.875] Good call!
ELON [57.9375 to 56.4375] Good call!
DRTN [29 to 29.875]
DTPI [88 to 93.3125]
SAPE [106.9375 to 99.4375] Good call!
HAIN [36.6875 to 35.0625] Good call!
KSS [55.625 to 60.0625]
REMC [27.917 to 31.625]
UTX [58.875 to 58.75] Good call!
SPYG [31.325 to 35.75]
BBY [63.25 to 70.75]

Pick your price carefully and do a basket, they are buried treasure if you can get a good fill.

Copyright, Auric Godlfinger, Auric Enterprises.

-------------------

SophomAuric, there were some good picks there, sixteen in all. The best pick turned out to be the first one, TANN (down 29 percent), the worst one SPYG (up 14 percent).

Overall, the average change was a drop of less than one percent (-0.520 percent actually). Had a person of your ilk (I'm still wondering how you "don't know" me but you do know my "ilk"), that is, someone with more than a piker's bank account, sold short 1,000 shares of all sixteen stocks at the closing price on the day of your post and covered at the closing price 4 trading sessions later, here's what would have happened:

They would have borrowed $877,960.80 in stock and sold short. After 4 trading sessions, they would have bought back $876,937.50 in stock to cover. For all of that exposure, for nearly a million dollars at risk, the reward was... $1,023.30 (before commissions).

You picked the right direction in exactly half of the picks. Not the most sterling record, what with a 'Cray' computer and a 'neural network'.

Face it, Auric, the results were mediocre, like you. You're not the most petty blowhard on SI, but the jury's still out.

Regards,

DWCraig

P.S., it's 'Goldfinger', right? Not 'Godlfinger'. Consider using spellcheck.