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To: Ross who wrote (1680)7/20/2000 6:22:48 PM
From: Mani1Respond to of 275872
 
Ross re <<I don't know if a decreasing equipment b-2-b always leads into a slump >>

I agree. But if you assume that semi's are perfectly cyclical (by that I mean once the growth slows, that means the peak is near), then lowering BTB is indeed negative. I do not think it is. As always, once a trend is discovered, it is no longer a trend.

Re <<but see Gottfried's charts>>

Indeed! His charts are very informative. Among many places, he posts them on COHU's thread.

Re <<Does this off topic post get me banned? It was just a response..... >>

In case you are serious, NO!!

Mani



To: Ross who wrote (1680)7/20/2000 6:39:05 PM
From: kash johalRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
Ross,

Equipment companies are EXTREMELY vulnerable to a slowdown.

It is tough for them to respond rapidly to upsides as well as downsides.

So any incremental changes are carefully analysed.

We all know the fall off a cliff will come.

It may be six months away or 6 years of course!!!

regards,

Kash