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Non-Tech : Deflation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JF Quinnelly who wrote (62)	7/28/2000 4:43:49 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 621

jfred, Sell in May and go away is the adage. Yes, it seems we have entered a share price deflationary period, with a happily growing economy, despite the huge increase in oil price which would have caused a recession in decades gone by. Alan Green$pan has really got a grip on the Fed reign. And the economy's reins. My guess is we bump along and when Bank America and others get a problem and cut staff and consumer prices join share prices in a bit of a deflationay slump, Alan will have to let the reins go a bit. Interest rates will fall and share prices will be off to the races, while wages and product prices will remain steady. Wheee!!! That means we in The New Paradigm get to win again. That should be about September! [I pick that because that's when SI poster Jon Koplik said a while ago that interest rates will be going down - I don't have any idea myself]. There won't be any black hole deflation! Sorry to disappoint the folks here. If we go into a deflationary black hole, I won't have to answer for being wrong anyway. If we don't, I'm right and get boasting rights, not to mention pecuniary advantage. Mqurice