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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Death Sphincter who wrote (48190)8/7/2000 9:03:26 AM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Stinky,

Your long term call has proven once again patience is a virtue.The long term view is always easier for me to see at bottoms than it is at tops(or declines from tops).

If you have a count you could spare - I'd like to get reoriented on the road map.

I have some sell offers on some naked puts out there thru september( on some low ball prices on stocks I'd like to accumulate).If/when S&P 1360 occurs,do you have a preferred time frame / month ??

TIA

Bob



To: Death Sphincter who wrote (48190)8/12/2000 4:20:09 PM
From: IndexTrader  Respond to of 94695
 
Carl,
There is a very interesting interview with Connie Brown on Wall Street Uncut.
Also, apparently this is Dave Allman's last interview. EWI will no longer sponsor him. Too bad..he is very good.
wallstreetuncut.com



To: Death Sphincter who wrote (48190)8/15/2000 8:47:48 AM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Wiping the dust off my LT count on the SPX:
Message 8318842

The Super Cycle began in 1932.
Cycle 1 to 1937
Cycle 2 to 1942
Cycle 3 to 1968
Cycle 4 to 1974
Cycle 5 count :
Primary 1 to 1980
Primary 2 to 1982
Primary 3 to 1990
Primary 4 to 1991
Primary 5 - 10/90 to present.

.... Intermediate 1- 10/90 to 1/94
.... Intermediate 2- 1/94 to 12/94 (A/D line bottom)
.... Intermediate 3- 12/94 to 7/99
........... Minor 1- 12/94 to 2/96
........... Minor 2- 2/96 to 7/96
........... Minor 3- 7/96 to 7/98
.................Minute 1 - 7/24/96 to 2/18/97
.................Minute 2 - 2/19/97 to 4/11/97
.................Minute 3 - 4/14/97 to 7/10/97
Cumulative A/D line top was reached on Minute 3 of Minor 3 of Intermediate 3.
.................Minute 4 - 10/7/97 to 10/27/97
.................Minute 5 - 10/28/97 to 7/17/98 (extended)
....................Minuette 1 - 10/28/97 to 12/5/97
....................Minuette 2 - 12/5/97 to 1/12/98
....................Minuette 3 - 1/12/98 to 4/6/98 (NYSE A/D top)
....................Minuette 4 - 4/7/98 to 6/15/98
....................Minuette 5 - 6/16/98 to 7/17/98
........... Minor 4- 7/20/98 to 10/8/98
................ Minute A - 7/20 to 9/1
................ Minute B - 9/1 to 9/23
................ Minute C - 9/23 to 10/8
............Minor 5- 10/98 to 7/99
.................Minute 1 (extended) to the week of 1/12/99
.................Minute 2 to the week of 2/16/99
.................Minute 3 to the week of 5/4/99
.................Minute 4 to the week of 6/1/99
.................Minute 5 to the week of 7/20/99
.... Intermediate 4 from 7/20/99 to 10/19/99
.... Intermediate 5 from 10/99 to the present

The only possible regular impulse read from 10/99 is the one that counts only nested 1s and 2s of 3 of 3 of 3. The decline to 7/29 throws a wrench into this count, too.
So, I'm left with your ending diagonal scenario but cannot find a footing to count from.

The significant tops of 1/3/00 and 3/24/00 could be read as a and c of minor 1, or 1 and a of 3, or 1 and 3. How can one tell? (yes, I know... In hindsite!)

Correct me if I'm wrong, as I think you count the march top as end of 3 of the ending diagonal. And then again, do you end the 4 on 4/14 or 5/24?

7/17/00 ended an abc from 5/24 but also a larger abc from 4/14.
What does that mean?

ATG