8/9/00 –Evening REVIEW of Articles and POSTS on CNC
Commentary on today’s events
Nothing new.
Conseco/Wendt have clearly stated how they will pay their debts:
cnetinvestor.com He said -“ There will not be a firesale of assets” -“We will not sell CNCFinance now at fire sale prices. Maybe later in the normal course of Business"
-" The company intends to manage debt payments due from 2000 through 2002 while minimizing any change in our strategic position and/or any loss to future income-generating potential. "
As a result, S & P downgrades CNC because:
” The revision in the CreditWatch status reflects the increasing likelihood that Conseco Finance will not be sold to a higher-rated entity in the foreseeable future. cnetinvestor.com
So, what we have is a delayed reaction by MOODY’s cnetinvestor.com
and S & P's because CNC will not raise cash in a fire sale.
It is hard for them to see how Gary Wendt will pay the debt so it is their fiduciary responsibility to put CNC on CreditWatch.
However both stated that ” They expect the company and its bank lenders to reach a satisfactory agreement “
Now what MOODY’s and S & P’s need to do is take a deep breath, sit back and relax and watch Gary Wendt do his “ Magic “,to see how he does it. Magic as in “ Magic Johnson “ .
Today CNC closed down 1/16 on low volume indicative That longs are willing to hold their shares and give Gary a chance.
Shorts are getting very ansy as evidenced by Multiple attacks and bombing raids in the CNC Longs strongholds in YAHOO and SI Message boards.
They know that a time bomb is ticking.
They know Gary will fix CNC.
They know that when that happens they will feel a sharp pain between their legs resembling a walnut-crushing event.
They are asking for immediate relief but are not getting it.
Any suggestions as to how to help CNC Shorty Inc out of their misery As humanitarian gesture will be deeply appreciated by them.
Post your suggestions on this thread,
TA
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CNCBalanceSheet conseco.com
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ MAJOR RECENT ARTICLES ON CNC
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Recent news: moneynet.com@NEWS-P2&Index=1&HeadlineURL=../News/NewsHeadlines.asp&DISABLE_FORM=&NAVSVC=News\Company Aug 9 (Reuters) - Conseco Finance, fixed final terms for its 2000-4 series $1.2 billion nine-tranche asset-backed bond launched on August 4. Rating Aaa/AAA/AAA
ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 9,: A consortium of eight insurance companies has completed a $40.5 million investment in affordable-housing projects across the state, the first test of an effort to get insurers to voluntarily invest in community development. ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000: Conseco prices senior classes of $1.2 bln ABS deal favorably
ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000:Conseco Capital Management Names New Co-Portfolio Managers for Conseco High Yield Fund
ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000: Dow Jones Newswires Conseco Promotes From Within After High-Yield Exodus
7/27/00 BUSINESS WIRE: CONSECO Announces Restructuring Program ,Parts I, II, III & IV , from RB ragingbull.altavista.com
DOW JONES NEWSWIRE 7/27/00:COMPLETE EPS REPORT 1: dowjones.work.com
2: dowjones.work.com
3: dowjones.work.com
7/24/00 BLOOMBERG: WENDT GETS RID OF LEOPARD CHAIR AND .......PROTECTS SHAREHOLDER EQUITY:
quote.bloomberg.com
. 7/19/2000 WENDT HIRES Ex-GE CRISIS TEAM
biz.yahoo.com
7/12/2000 20 MILLION PAID TO HIRE WENDT Wendt gets 45 mill less than if he had stayed at the Golf Course and got paid by GE to non - compete and do nothing. GE gets 10 mill CNC shares, will make another killing.
messages.yahoo.com
6/30/2000 WENDT BACK FROM HONEYMOON messages.yahoo.com
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
VARIOUS OTHER ISSUES IN CNC:
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ISSUE OF PRODUCING A GIANT SHORT SQUEEZE:
First an introductory song about short covering:
amazon.com
messages.yahoo.com
Message 14172703 CNC in WORTH Magazine via Maverick Capital's Hedge Fund Manager - Lee Ainslie. Ainslie is a noted short seller who has averaged 24.8% after fees with $5B under management. He has covered his CNC position: “ I am not going to go Against somebody of Wendt’s reputation “.
7/27/00 IRWIN JACOBS WANTS TO PRODUCE A SHORT SQUEEZE. ……….He puts this Ad in WallStJ. then other papers messages.yahoo.com
streetmonkey.com
. 7/29/00 Star Tribune:CNC earnings report and Irwin Jacobs Short Squeeze bid ragingbull.altavista.com
7/30/00 Indianapolis Star :Conseco investor's ad aims to help stock . starnews.com
7/31/00 J.J. CRAMER FROM TheStreetCom editorializes: “ A great Idea !!!” ragingbull.altavista.com
8-1-00 Star Tribune: Neal St. Anthony/On Business: Jacobs roars, short sellers yawn startribune.com
Meanwhile, CURRENT SHORT INTEREST as of 7/22/2000 is 64,000,000 shares messages.yahoo.com
messages.yahoo.com
Shorting Rules ragingbull.altavista.com
BOOKS ON SHORTING (If any one wants to ahead and short some more and make Mr.Wendt’s Day ). capatcolumbia.com
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bad Shorting Advice
“Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments “ in SI Thread Message 14187856 By Mr.P$nk_Esq.
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7/28/00 :ISSUE of FABER CNBC REPORT & CONTROVERSY ( ie that Wendt is going to dilute shareholder equity ). ragingbull.altavista.com
7/29/00 reply by ta to FABER Report: CNBC FABER is either LYING or MISINFORMED messages.yahoo.com
7/24/00 Cnet : ''We're not going to be diluting shareholder value at ridiculously low prices,'' Wndt said. cnetinvestor.com
messages.yahoo.com
7/31/00 FABER CORRECTS HIMSELF: “ CNC WILL N O T ISSUE ANY N E W EQUITY “. boards.cnbc.com
Thank you Mr. FABER.
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ISSUE OF BANKRUPTCY 7/22/2000
Part I messages.yahoo.com.
Part II messages.yahoo.com.
messages.yahoo.com.
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. ISSUE OF MR.T.LEE'S PREFERRED STOCK
messages.yahoo.com
messages.yahoo.com
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BROKERS OPINION
8/5/00 S & P raises Outlook to highest, 5 ( on scale 1 to 5 ) messages.yahoo.com
7/30/00 STANDARD AND POOR UPGRADES CNC TO 4 STARS FROM 3 STARS Message 14133330
Merrill Lynch 7/31/00 messages.yahoo.com
.7/26/00 LEHMAN MAINTAINS OUTPERORM II ON CNC Message 14109720
RATING AGENCIES , MOODY’S, S & P etc
S & P =========== www2.marketwatch.com ragingbull.altavista.com S&P cuts Conseco Fin status Aug. 8, 2000--3:18 pm - By Chris Kraeuter Conseco Finance's credit rating status was revised to "negative" from "developing" by Standard & Poor's. According to a S&P statement, S&P "believes Conseco Finance's creditworthiness is severely limited by a lack of funding flexibility and aggressive leverage." Also, S&P cited its belief that the finance unit will not be sold to a "higher-rated" entity in the foreseeable future. Conseco Finance's ratings were placed on "developing" on March 31. Conseco's (CNC: news, msgs) ratings status was placed on "negative" on April 7. Currently, Conseco shares are down 1/16 to 7 7/8 on volume of 2.8 million shares.
ragingbull.altavista.com Comment from RB poster on above S & P reports:
messages.yahoo.com 8/9/00 1:58:00 PM : Business WireS&P Places Various Green Tree Cert Rtgs on Watch Neg The revision in the CreditWatch status reflects the increasing likelihood that Conseco Finance will not be sold to a higher-rated entity in the foreseeable future.
ragingbull.altavista.com Comment from RB poster on above S & P reports:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MOODY’S ======== quote.bloomberg.com . While Moody's said it expects the company and its bank lenders to reach a satisfactory agreement, it said the details of such an agreement and the effects on Conseco's operations remain uncertain. moodys.com 6-30-00 : CONSECO & AFFILIATES' CREDIT RTGS DOWNGRADED (SR TO Baa3)
moodys.com 5-10-00MOODY'S CHANGES RATING OUTLOOK OF PRINCIPAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY (INSURANCE FINANCIAL STRENGTH AT Aa2) AND ITS AFFILIATES TO STABLE FROM NEGATIVE
moodys.com 4-20-00: MOODY'S DOWNGRADES SENIOR DEBT OF CONSECO AND CONSECO FINANCE TO Ba1
MORNINGSTAR/FINANCIAL ============================ messages.yahoo.com Morningstar grades CNC a B-, for financial health, just slightly below average for insurance industry and average for universe of stocks.
DALBAR Insurance Rating Web site ================================ Part 1 messages.yahoo.com
Part 2 messages.yahoo.com
OVERVIEW of CONSECO INSURANCE RATINGS ================================ conseco.com
LAWSUITS ON COMPANY BASHERS ======================================
TA’s EXCELLENT , I say, EXCELLENT, REVIEW OF INTERNET LAWSUITS
Message 14157877
Friday August 4, H-Quotient, Inc., Files Suit Against Alleged Stock Manipulators
Message 14173025
The most recent Lawsuit won by Biometrix
Message 14158321
And just before that New subpoenas on the way
biz.yahoo.com
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CNC CHART & Technical Analysis
STOCKCHARTS
stockcharts.com[L,A]DCCLYYMY[DC][PB10!B20!B30!B50!F][VC60][IUH14,3!LI14,3!LC20!LK14!LA12,26,9]
SI siliconinvestor.com
Money Flow Stats by Softechie Aug 8, 3000 : Message 14184790
========================================================================= NEGATIVE ARTICLES ON CNC
7/27/00 TheStreetCom: Herb's Hotline: Oversight by Conseco? thestreet.com
7/10/00 TheStreetCom: Conseco Sets Rich Pay Package for New CEO, By Peter Eavis Message 14023449
7/11/00 Herb's Hotline: Will These Conseco Capers Never Cease? By Herb Greenberg thestreet.com
&/14/00 Bloomberg :Conseco Outdoes Itself in Piling Gifts on Wendt: by Graef Crystal ragingbull.altavista.com
7/31/00 Warburg initiates coverage with hold; messages.yahoo.com
7/31/00WSJ Colin Devine from Smith Barney is worried about CNC messages.yahoo.com messages.yahoo.com
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MAGAZINE ARTICLES ON GARY WENDT
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Aug. 7, 2000 :BUSINESS WEEK ragingbull.altavista.com My comments on Business Week Article: Music…Music…Music.. Message 14127197 1997 FORBES/GECAPITAL: " BLOWING BUBBLES " forbes.com
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PREVIOUS REVIEW POSTS ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ . July 5, 2000: REVIEW OF GARY WELCH LIFE AND ARTICLES Message 13993832 July 10, 2000: W S J : GE Capital’s Wendt: " A BRUTAL NEGOTIATOR " Message 14023303
MISCELLANEOUS ========================================================
1 ] WHY I INVEST IN CONSECO: ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ragingbull.altavista.com
2 ].What is CNC really worth? View from a competitor: starnews.com A CNC competitor!! ,Mr.Nauert, CEO of Ceres says thatIf sold to the right buyers, Nauert said, Conseco's insurance operations could bring as much as $7 billion. That's the equivalent of $21 a share -- nearly three times Conseco's current stock price. This is from a competitor, and it is ONLY for the insurance part of CNC!
A note from RB about who Nauert is: ragingbull.altavista.com
3 ] DALBAR Insurance rankings Website
host.cnbc.com
8/8/00YAHOO,PartI: messages.yahoo.com Part II :
messages.yahoo.com
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WENDT'S BUSINESS CARD ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Here's Wendt's business card when he goes to the Bank to ask for money:
I am responsible for 38% of GE's net income:
GE’s profit has come increasingly from Financial Services That’s GECapital, the company I run, at GE: businessweek.com
And here how I compare with the giants: Revenues quicken.com
Cash Flow quicken.com
Net Income quicken.com
GARY WENDT
Looks pretty good ,
Eeh? No?
vbg
TA |