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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (48229)8/15/2000 11:01:58 PM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
mynvo.com

My problem is that a lot of the Trader's Committment stuff does not seem to work any more because of arbitrage and other new found strategies. VIX is interesting but the above link showing one of the charts on my website shows a strong positive bias in VIX relative to SPY... which may mean it is taking more and more volatility to spook people.

What I read this to mean is that the ratio as of today is on the high trendline... probably meaning we have more consolidation and downside before a further move up. In the past, as long as that comparison does not go negative, there has been little to fear from major sell-offs.

That can change at any time, but at least it is a fairly reliable indicator otherwise.

I would REALLY start to get nervous if the ACC/DIST line started to go below the trend.... it would mean to me that the investors in the party are beginning to leave and that would mark the advance end of the party.

As always, BWDIK? And thanks for the link...