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Technology Stocks : PALM - The rebirth of Palm Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David E. Taylor who wrote (1418)8/28/2000 12:31:30 PM
From: TechieGuy-alt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6784
 
>>>>I think your $19-$20/unit figure for Palm's OS licensing fee is probably on the high side. In the following post:


Yup, I agree to this point.

In any event, I'm using $10-$13/unit for PALM's OS licensing revenues going forward in the PALM revenue/earnings model I'm working up. I'd appreciate your
and others comments on my conclusions on this.


Well, you did some (intelligent) calculations and figured out the $10-$13 figure.

From a completely different angle here is my take.

I work in the embedded industry and have worked with quite a few different OS's on different types of platforms (from a few KB's of memory to 10's of Megs of memory and TCP/IP stacks etc.).

If I would to determine a reasonable price to pay for an OS of the capabilities of the Palm OS, I would say around $10-$15 in 10's of thousands quantities/year.

This fits in quite nicely with the target end device price of $150-$250.

Of course volumes also determine the price a bit, and I think that volumes in the half million to 1million range would bring the price down to the $6-$10 range.

So I think that any guesstimate in the $6-$12 is valid for what Palm is getting from Hand.

TG

P.S. This also cross references form some info that I had in my head about MSoft wanting ~$20-$30 in 10K units for the WinCE OS. (this is not a fact but something that I seem to remember when we were looking at using the WinCE in our embedded product).