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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (58520)8/28/2000 6:31:21 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
I guess all the cycle dudes are in agreement (not Mott the Hoople). Rich Mueller, who has a half-hour cycles/e-wave radio show here on Fridays, is looking for the intermediate-term high in several weeks then a severe decline. He was looking for a decline early this week.



To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (58520)8/28/2000 6:36:47 PM
From: allen menglin chen  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
The Paragon Traders' Update - August 27, 2000

The Ultra Compressed Market

On Wednesday we issued a special alert warning of the potential for a major
move in the market to begin shortly. If you believe at all in history then
nothing has changed. The market continues to set compression pattern after
compression pattern. We have not seen this type of pattern in a very long
time. This complacency is also noted in the Volatility Index (VIX) as it
closed at just above 19 on Friday. Many traders are dismissing the current
environment and saying the market is just in a different phase. We belief
this is the calm before the storm. As stated in our special alert we are not
yet willing to commit to the direction of the move but are willing to say it
will blow your doors off. If you must have a position on in the market
consider buying at-the-money Sept or Oct straddles. With the VIX so low as
the move begins volatility will be pumped into the options helping your
position along with the directional move.

Not only is the market compressed but also we are once again upon one of our
critical dates as outlined in our Outlook 2000, issued in late December
1999. These critical dates have produced significant results this year with
the most recent producing a nine-day 7.1% decline. The current environment
is like having dynamite soaked with gasoline baking in sun. In rare cases
the dynamite may not explode. However, we would be willing to bet it will,
taking many careless traders out with the explosion. Be ready and prepared.
A potential extreme profit time is nearing.



To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (58520)8/28/2000 6:40:36 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
translation of ord, we are gonna melt and gold is goin to da moon -ggg-

they only thing that makes me cautious about shorting here, because that wedge on spx is getting narrower today (closing price), is that you are bumping up the put/call ratio and too many traders are in doubt of this breakout, unlike the breakout on 7/17, when people were pretty wildly bullish and a lot of people were talking nas 5000.