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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: fedhead who wrote (17760)	9/12/2000 8:10:59 PM
From: IceShark	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

Cash on the sidelines can scurry into deep holes for a long time, and stay there. You ever heard of CDs - I know they are nearly extinct now. -g- Or all the debt outstanding could soak it up as people batten down. I'm not so sure if an interest rate cut wouldn't cause more problems than it would solve, ClownBuck value among them. The surprise cuts were more directed at catching the market offguard to help bail out LTCM's positions and give the backers some extra free money to do so.

To: fedhead who wrote (17760)	9/12/2000 8:44:14 PM
From: Archie Meeties	Respond to of 436258

Dollar would fall and inflation would gain speed.

To: fedhead who wrote (17760)	9/12/2000 8:49:39 PM
From: Lucretius	Respond to of 436258

doesn't work like that... if he did that, oil would run to 60 and gold to 500.... this time he's got falling stock prices and rising commodities to deal w/. he cna not throw more gas on the fire... he's f*cked... all clown get DESTROYED. including him....

To: fedhead who wrote (17760)	9/12/2000 9:27:46 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

cash on the sidelines is often characterized as something that's just lying in wait, easily tempted back into the market. and the experience of recent years seems to definitely support that characterization. but, that's true only as long as the conditions conducive to a bull market continue to pertain, or put in other words, as long as the long term up trend seems not unduly imperiled. Japan is a great illustration of a market that has seen the largest pile of money sitting on the sidelines and staying firmly put there, no matter what manner of interventions the authorities have been thinking up. in terms of risk/reward we have just experienced a year during which the less risky investments (bonds,t-bills,utilities) have yielded far bigger returns than the risky ones. then there is the question how much money is there really on the sidelines potentially destined for the stock market. a recent (about three weeks ago) poll by Ed Hyman showed institutional investors to be at their most fully invested posture EVER.... don't forget, in the '98 crisis, mutual funds were building up cash reserves real fast...when Greenjeans gave the green light, there actually WAS money lying in wait. that's not the case now, and in a recessionary credit bubble melt-down funds could be hit with redemptions instead of enjoying inflows. in Japan, the mutual fund industry lost 96% of its assets within 6 years of the bursting of the bubble....