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To: Jon Cave who wrote (73304)9/13/2000 12:19:10 PM
From: Jon Cave  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Crude, Gasoline Test Upside On Stock Draws


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Crude and gasoline futures rebounded in morning
trading Wednesday at the New York Mercantile Exchange as market players
turned attention to generally supportive inventory data after correcting for
an output increase.
However, new headlines sent futures back into negative territory, but
analysts expected the drop to be brief, they said at midday.
A report that Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries President Ali
Rodriguez said that member countries could increase output by 2 million
barrels a day "if necessary" sent futures prices lower.
Traders are also monitoring bearish reports that the Clinton Administration
could release crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help lower
high prices and meet winter fuel demand.
Congressional sources said Wednesday that the Clinton Administration is more
seriously considering tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as prices
remain high despite Sunday's announcement of higher production from the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Northeastern senators have been calling for the release of crude from the
SPR for the past year. They believe the SPR needs to be tapped now in order
to meet winter heating fuel demand.
"It's now or never," said a Senate staffer, noting it can take two months to
get crude out of the ground, refined and transported to consumers.
That bearish announcement could shave more than $5 off crude prices, some
analysts predicted.
Absent a definitive SPR release, the market is increasingly focusing on
reports by the American Petroleum Institute and the Department of Energy
reports, which showed an unexpected draw in crude stocks but a healthy build
in distillate stocks.
Crude stocks dropped 1.937 million barrels to 288.615 million barrels,
according to the API data. The DOE showed a smaller draw of just 1.00
million barrels to 288.5 million barrels. Analysts were expecting a 2
million-barrel build.
Gasoline stocks fell by a larger than expected amount.
According to the API, gasoline stocks dropped 5.894 million barrels to
195.927 million barrels as demand for the product rose unexpectedly to 9.182
million barrels a day.
However, part of the reason for the huge drawdown was a upward revision of
last week's gasoline inventory data. The DOE reported a 3.7 million barrel
draw in U.S. gasoline stocks to 191.8 million barrels.
Distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, rose by
slightly more than expected.
According to the API, distillate stocks grew 2.128 million barrels to
115.008 million barrels, with the bulk of the build concentrated in the
critical east coast market. The DOE showed an even larger stock build of 2.3
million barrels to 114.6 million barrels.
Although the distillate inventory build is a neutral to bearish sign,
distillate stocks remain about 20% below last year's levels, prompting fears
of a heating oil shortage this winter. High natural gas prices are lending
support.
Market volatility is expected to continue as the complex digests a pledge by
the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to raise crude output
quotas by 800,000 barrels a day from Oct 1.
The production increase is viewed as insufficient, but there is a perception
that the prices may stall around their current levels without further
fundamental support.
At 12:01 p.m. EDT (1601 GMT), October crude oil futures had fallen 11 cents
to $34.17 a barrel, while October heating oil had fallen 2.43 cents to
$102.30 a gallon and October gasoline had dropped 45 points to 93.45 cents a
gallon.