And if CIR's numbers for the growth out to 2004 don't excite you much....have no fear...just pick another market research firm that "uses a bigger hockey stick" for its disingenious curves and you can get growth that is more than 100% greater than CIR's predictions by 2004:
North American Optical Edge Systems Market to Grow to More Than $8.3 Billion in 2004, according to Pioneer Consulting.
pioneerconsulting.com
(wonder if they refund the 4500 bucks their report costs, multiplied by the factor they miss the projection by<gg>....they should stand behind their projections, right? They're charging good money for them...seems only fair)
CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Sept. 13 /PRNewswire/ --
The North American market for optical edge systems, including next-generation SONET, Integrated Metro DWDM and Metro Optical IP will create a market of $1.15 in 2000 and reach more than $8.3 billion by 2004, according to Pioneer's new report, Optical Edge Networks: Market Opportunities for Integrated Optical Network Solutions in Metro Networks.
North American Optical Edge Systems Market, by Type - 2000-2004
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Optical IP $0.11 $0.18 $0.43 $0.71 $1.08
Multiservice DWDM $0.11 $0.20 $0.42 $0.66 $0.92
Multiservice SONET $0.93 $1.43 $2.43 $3.94 $6.30
Total $1.15 $1.81 $3.28 $5.31 $8.30
The optical edge networks market is slowly coming into focus, though a definition of this market will continue to evolve as systems move from the labs into the field and carriers determine how and to what extent these integrated systems will be deployed. Simply put, optical edge network systems are being developed to address the shortcomings of existing metro networks and their voice-oriented technologies and architectures. Optical edge network systems combine scalability of the optical layer (Layer 0), with processing of Layers 1, 2 and/or 3 to provide a single network element that performs the functions of many, simplifying provisioning, network management, and ideally reducing both first costs and lifecycle costs for carriers. The importance of this integration is directly related to the profound changes underway in both public and private networks today, in which an inexorable migration from circuit switching to packet switching is taking place, and the prominence of data traffic is requiring a complete rethinking and reengineering of networks. It is quite possible, therefore, that the optical edge market is only the beginning of an evolutionary "de-layering" of the network, in which IP emerges as the dominant services layer, residing on top of a thin adaptation layer such as MPLS carried on a configurable optical layer. This explains why so many optical edge systems seem to be hybrids; the market is not ready for the ultimate IP-over-optics solution and instead requires an interim step in which legacy services are accommodated in their native format over a common transport platform.
For additional information on this report, including a full table of contents, list of exhibits and executive summary, please visit pioneerconsulting.com or call Pioneer Consulting at 617-441-3900.
Optical edge network equipment vendors/manufacturers and service providers profiled in this report include: AT&T, Allied Riser, Alidian Networks, Appian Communications, Astral Point Communications, ATG, Broadband Office, Broadwing, Centerpoint Broadband Technologies, Chromatis Networks, Ciena, Cisco Systems, Coriolis Networks, Cyras Systems, Extreme Networks, Fujitsu Network Communications, Global Crossing, Geyser Networks, Kestrel Solutions, Lantern Communications, Level3, Lucent Technologies, LuxN, Luminous Networks, Marconi Communications, Mayan Networks, Metro-Optix, Nortel Networks, Quantum Bridge, Qwest, Redback/Siara Systems, Sirocco Systems, Sprint, Terawave, Tropic Networks, WorldCom and Zaffire. |
