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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MrGreenJeans who wrote (10251)10/3/2000 8:29:11 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Respond to of 42834
 
Maybe in a few days it will be moot anyway, if we go below 3200 on the Naz. If we close out the year below those levels, we would be in a bear market no matter how you slice it.



To: MrGreenJeans who wrote (10251)10/3/2000 8:37:52 PM
From: Gary D  Respond to of 42834
 
MGJ, re: "...This year is the first year I have heard Bob measuring from the peak. I cannot recall hearing this type of analysis before for either a bull or bear market. Bob, up to this year measured the returns of the indexes on a year-to-date basis going back to the 1980s. This is inconsistent; shall I dare say he is spinning the facts here?"

What I thought I heard was measurement 'from the peak' strictly for the purposes of characterizing a bear-market decline: the magnitude of the decline is measured from the peak. Makes sense to me. I don't see how you get "spinning the facts" from that. (Also, I didn't hear Bob pretending that he had advised anyone to sell precisely at the absolute peak).

Gary



To: MrGreenJeans who wrote (10251)10/4/2000 12:33:55 PM
From: Allan Harris  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
Mr. GJ,

who will be so wrong

Maybe, no one: We go to new highs on all indexes, circa 4th Qtr 2000. Top out 1st Qtr 2001, with Brinker still in the bunker, but now joined by motley crew of former bulls, maybe even the King of France, maybe I said, maybe. Bear asserts itself 2nd half 2001 to high fives all around.

Maybe.

A