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Strategies & Market Trends : Z PORTFOLIO -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Susan Saline who wrote (5414)10/8/2000 8:15:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11568
 
I have a book floating around here someplace called "When to Sell." And your series of posts on getting clobbered by losers is one thing addressed.

And I think we all know WHY it happens!

The interesting question is, if you sell a loser - say at a 5% loss and it gains 10% right after that, does that make you a DOUBLE loser??? (Now how many times does that REALLY happen???)

My technique, which I admit I have yet to use (not true, I really have used it but not as frequently as I should) - I write up my expectations about a position including weakness, if any, I should see in it... if it doesn't play how I expect it to, then I exit. Not soon enough, mind you, but I exit. But then all I do is play options with pin money... so what do I know?



To: Susan Saline who wrote (5414)10/8/2000 6:18:11 PM
From: Kelvin Taylor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11568
 
Looking at the Z port only two positions have been held for over 200 days. in fact most of our holdings were purchased after June. the average holding period for all trades is 24 days and we are up over 5% YTD.

not too bad considering we are beating the averages by a very wide margin.

when to sell a loser? well, speaking for only my experience when I have sold a stock for a loss, more times than not I could have avoided the loss just by being patient a while longer. How much longer? they longest time was 7.5 months. the shortest? 2 days!!!! in fact I sold some so-called losers last year at this time by requirement only to see those post over 50% gains in just 3 months.

sure, you can avoid even more losses by cutting a bad decision early, but when do you get back in? or do you average cost down?

I'll wait it out.