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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: johnd who wrote (50804)10/7/2000 7:27:43 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
Intel Q2 Revenue A Record $8.3 Billion, Up 23 Percent

Read the Intel Q2 earnigns release and note CPU unit shipment comments. Normally Intel has a slow Q2 and strong Q3. But in 2000 for some reason Intel had a very strong Q2 and microsoft did not. What happened I think was that lot of OEMs stuffed inventory and then sold in Q3. Microsoft should benefit this Q and in Dec Q.
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SANTA CLARA, Calif., July 18, 2000 -- Intel Corporation today announced second quarter revenue of $8.3 billion, a new quarterly record, up 23 percent from the second quarter of 1999 and 4 percent sequentially. The company also had record unit shipments of microprocessors and flash memory in the second quarter.

For the second quarter, net income excluding acquisition-related costs was $3.5 billion, up 98 percent from the second quarter of 1999 and up 16 percent sequentially. Second quarter earnings excluding acquisition-related costs were $0.50 per share, an increase of 92 percent from $0.26 in the second quarter of 1999, and up 16 percent sequentially.

Including acquisition-related costs in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, second quarter net income was $3.1 billion, up 79 percent from the second quarter of 1999 and up 16 percent sequentially. Earnings per share were $0.45, up 80 percent from $0.25 in the second quarter of 1999 and up 15 percent sequentially.

Acquisition-related costs in the second quarter consisted of $21 million in one-time charges for purchased in-process research and development and $394 million of amortization of goodwill and other acquisition-related intangibles.

All of the share and per share amounts in this release have been adjusted to reflect the 2-for- 1 stock split (to be effected as a special stock distribution) payable July 30 to stockholders of record on July 2. The company expects that its shares will begin to trade on a post-split basis on July 31. All second quarter net income and earnings per share amounts include the previously announced charge to cost of sales for approximately $200 million to cover costs associated with the MTH motherboard replacement program and $2.3 billion of interest and other income.

"We are very pleased with our record quarterly results in what is normally a seasonally slow quarter," said Craig R. Barrett, president and chief executive officer. "Strong worldwide PC and server demand and better than expected manufacturing performance helped lead the company to greater than 20 percent revenue growth versus the second quarter of last year. We saw strong demand in all business groups, especially for microprocessors, flash memory and networking silicon.

"Looking forward, we expect to see strong demand continue into the second half. Our recent investments in 0.18-micron process technology will allow us to substantially increase second half supply to help us meet this anticipated strong demand."

In June, the company announced the Intel® Pentium® 4 processor brand name for its new generation of desktop microprocessors. Scheduled to be introduced in the second half of 2000, the new Pentium 4 processor is based on revolutionary technology designed for consumers who want to take advantage of the latest Web technologies like broadband, interactive 3-D and streaming audio and video.

Today, the company said that it would soon begin shipments of its Intel® Itaniumâ„¢ processor for systems used by IT end-users in pilot installations, and that the company now expects to begin recording revenue for Itanium processor shipments during the fourth quarter, rather than the third. Pilot systems will be followed by release of generally available system hardware, operating systems environments, and application solutions, following industry practice for enterprise computing systems. Thousands of Itanium processor based development systems have already been shipped to OEM customers, operating systems vendors, independent software vendors, and IT end-users using them for the qualification of systems and development of software.

During the quarter, the company announced and closed the acquisition of Picazo Communications and Kuck & Associates, Inc. and closed two previously announced acquisitions, Basis Communications Corporation and Voice Technologies Group, Inc. During the quarter, Intel also announced that Visteon Corporation's Ford Microelectronics Inc. design team had joined the company. Background on acquisitions can be found in the Second Quarter Highlights section of this release.

During the quarter, the company paid its quarterly cash dividend of $0.015 per share (as calculated on a post-split basis). The dividend was paid on June 1, 2000, to stockholders of record on May 7, 2000. During the quarter, Intel's Board of Directors approved an increase in the company's quarterly cash dividend from $0.015 to $0.02, beginning with the dividend payable on September 1, 2000, to stockholders of record on August 7, 2000. Intel has paid a regular quarterly cash dividend for over seven years.

During the quarter, the company repurchased a total of 16.8 million shares (as calculated on a post-split basis), of common stock, at a cost of $1.0 billion, under an ongoing program. Since the program began in 1990, the company has repurchased 1.4 billion shares at a total cost of $20.2 billion.

BUSINESS OUTLOOK

The following statements are based on current expectations. These statements are forward-looking, and actual results may differ materially. These statements do not include the potential impact of any mergers or acquisitions that may be completed after July 1, 2000.

** The company expects revenue for the third quarter of 2000 to be up from second quarter revenue of $8.3 billion.

** The company expects gross margin percentage for the third quarter to be approximately 63 to 64 percent. Based on first half results and current expectations, gross margin percentage for 2000 is now expected to be 63 percent, plus or minus a few points, including the impact of all costs associated with the MTH motherboard replacement program. In the short term, Intel's gross margin percentage varies primarily with revenue levels and product mix as well as changes in unit costs.

** Expenses (R&D, excluding in-process R&D, plus MG&A) in the third quarter of 2000 are expected to be up 7 to 9 percent from second quarter expenses of $2.2 billion, primarily due to higher spending on marketing programs and R&D initiatives in new business areas. Expenses are dependent in part on the level of revenue.

** R&D spending, excluding in-process R&D, is expected to be approximately $4.0 billion for 2000, up from previous guidance of $3.9 billion.

** The company expects interest and other income for the third quarter of 2000 to be approximately $800 million, depending on interest rates, cash balances, equity market levels and volatility, the realization of expected gains on investments, including gains on investments acquired by third parties, and assuming no unanticipated items.

** The tax rate for 2000 is expected to be approximately 31.8 percent, excluding the impact of the previously announced agreement with the Internal Revenue Service and acquisition-related costs, up slightly from previous guidance of 31.7 percent, due primarily to higher than expected realized gains on the sale of equity investments.

** Capital spending for 2000 is expected to be approximately $6.0 billion.

** Depreciation is expected to be approximately $790 million in the third quarter and $3.4 billion for the full year 2000, down from previous guidance of $3.5 billion.

** Amortization of goodwill and other acquisition-related intangibles is expected to be approximately $400 million in the third quarter and $1.5 billion for the full year 2000, up from previous guidance of $1.4 billion.

The statements by Craig R. Barrett and the above statements contained in this outlook are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. In addition to factors discussed above, among other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: business and economic conditions and growth in the computing industry in various geographic regions; changes in customer order patterns; changes in the mixes of microprocessor types and speeds, purchased components and other products; competitive factors, such as rival chip architectures and manufacturing technologies, competing software-compatible microprocessors and acceptance of new products in specific market segments; pricing pressures; development and timing of introduction of compelling software applications; insufficient, excess or obsolete inventory and variations in inventory valuation; continued success in technological advances, including development and implementation of new processes and strategic products for specific market segments; execution of the manufacturing ramp, including the transition to the 0.18-micron process technology; shortage of manufacturing capacity; the ability to grow new networking, communications, wireless and other Internet-related businesses and successfully integrate and operate any acquired businesses; unanticipated costs or other adverse effects associated with processors and other products containing errata (deviations from published specifications); litigation involving antitrust, intellectual property, consumer and other issues; and other risk factors listed from time to time in the company's SEC reports, including but not limited to the report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended April 1, 2000 (Part I, Item 2, Outlook section).

SECOND QUARTER 2000 BUSINESS REVIEW

Intel Architecture Group

** Microprocessor unit shipments in the second quarter set a new record.

** Chipset unit shipments were down from the first quarter.

** Motherboard unit shipments were down from the first quarter.

Wireless Communications and Computing Group

** Flash memory unit shipments in the second quarter set a new record.

Network Communications Group

** Unit shipments of Fast Ethernet and Gigabit Ethernet connections set a new record.

** Unit shipments of network infrastructure silicon components, which include embedded Pentium® III processors, I/O processors and PCI bridges, were up from the first quarter.



To: johnd who wrote (50804)10/7/2000 7:50:37 PM
From: alydar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
<<2 quarter after Mc Neally went to Jack Welch for help, SUN reported 60% growth; just a leading indicator. Get real Blisenko>>

Welch's greatest strength IMO, I have read several books about G.E. and him, is his willingness to change on a dime and his commitment to enpower his employees. This is very different than most companies. Welch lets him people run and if they do not perform; gone.

There is no chief architect, no visionary CEO, just tens of thousands, aggessive, business minded employees that are told if they are not #1 or #2 in their business, then they are out of that area. So, if Jack was running MSFT, he would get rid of MSN, SQL, and any other division that is not dominant. MSFT keeps pouring money, for years, into unprofitable areas. If they were not a monopoly they could not do this. That is the scary part. They may actually hit on something besides Windows someday.

Lastly, if you look at G.E., they are SPLIT-UP into separate operating units. This is the only way to grow a large company. decentralized control. The best thing that could happen is for MSFT to be split up; they just do not realize it. They should be able to do it on their own terms but their arrogance is blinding their vision.

JMO, from your friend, Bob.