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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Shoot1st who wrote (47070)10/16/2000 1:00:12 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769667
 
Gore's biggest challenge - Get Nadar voters to switch to Gore.

Bush's biggest challenge - Stop Nadar voters from switching to Gore.

In Tuesday dabate, expect Gore to emphasize environmental protection and Bush record in Texas.

Gore Closes Gap To One Point In Reuters/MSNBC Poll
October 16, 2000

By Alan Elsner, Political Correspondent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican George W. Bush's lead over
Democrat Al Gore is back down to a single percentage point in their race for
the White House, according to the Reuters/MSNBC daily tracking poll on
Monday.

With a third and final debate scheduled for Tuesday and a little more than
three weeks before election day, the Texas governor was polling at 43
percent while the vice president was at 42 percent in the survey of 1,214
likely voters conducted Friday through Sunday by pollster John Zogby.

Since the daily tracking poll began on Sept. 29, the race has never been
outside the survey's statistical margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage
points.

Bush opened up a 3-point lead on Saturday, following his success in the
second debate against Gore last week, but that appeared to be closing again.

The tracking surveys are made up of a rolling daily sample of about 400
likely voters each day to create a three-day sample of about 1,200.

In the latest poll released Monday, Green Party candidate Ralph Nader
garnered 5 percent of the vote;
Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan held
at 1 percent as did Libertarian Party candidate Harry Browne. Eight percent
were undecided with just 22 days to go before the Nov. 7 presidential
election.

Volatile Voters

"With a little over three weeks to go, 18 percent of voters said they are
either very or somewhat likely to change their vote,'' said Zogby.

"This includes 32 percent of independents; 20 percent of men; 19 percent of
Catholics; 19 percent of suburban voters; 18 percent of voters in union
households; 18 percent of Gore supporters and 51 percent of Nader
supporters,'' he said.


Thirty-eight percent of those surveyed had definitely ruled out voting for
Bush and 39 percent said they would not vote for Gore.

In the battle for control of the House of Representatives where Democrats
need to pick up a handful of seats to regain the majority, the parties are tied
at 38 percent.

In the presidential race, Gore had a wide lead in the East but Bush led in the
South and the West. The Midwest, where many experts believe the election
will be decided, was a dead heat.

While Bush was getting the support of 85 percent of Republicans, Gore was
winning the votes of only 77 percent of Democrats.

Bush led among white voters by a margin of 48 to 37 percent for Gore, and
was competitive among Hispanics, where Gore's lead was only five points,
although the margin of error for such sub-groups is much higher than for
the poll as a whole. Gore was carrying 81 percent of the black vote and
badly needs a heavy turnout by black voters if he is to win the election.

Bush led among men by 47-39 percent; Gore led among women by 46-39
percent.

When voters were asked who they would like to see as president, regardless
of whom they would vote for, 40 percent said Bush, 38 percent said Gore
and 10 percent said Nader.

Reuters and MSNBC will release a new poll every day until the election.

voter.com