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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (7)10/17/2000 7:44:15 PM
From: JSB  Respond to of 95420
 
Great work, Donald. Today had the feel of
a capitulation. At the very least the
sector has been beaten up way past anything
justified.

Thank you for the thread.

JB



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (7)10/17/2000 10:04:12 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95420
 
Donald, >We essentially have completed the down cycle (or very close to it)<

Yes, but without the steep drop in Semi equipment orders and shipments that has accompanied a stock price drop in the past.

I have plotted your 33 stock index against the SEMI numbers, as requested. Maybe we can call it dw index?
geocities.com

Thank you for your work, which must be time consuming.

Links to my other semi equip related charts are here
pw2.netcom.com

Gottfried



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (7)10/17/2000 10:05:21 PM
From: Bocor  Respond to of 95420
 
OK, I think we all agree that serious carnage has been wrought upon this sector. Out of the most serious bear markets however always rise the next leaders, and serious money will be made by those who own them from these levels.

Question is which ones will be the leaders, and which ones will be the laggards. The answer to that question may not matter tomorrow or next week, but will make a huge difference in the next 6 months.

Any ideas?



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (7)10/17/2000 10:49:32 PM
From: EACarl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95420
 
Great work as always Donald!
RE "the group total loss is approaching that of the 1997 to October 1998 loss - 65 vs 76 percent."

True, But I think it is also fair to point out that since
the early 2000 highs were so much higher
than the 1997 highs, the absolute lows of 1998 are still
a good percentage drop away for many companies.
For example, look at ASYT, sure it looks cheap, but
the 1998 low was around $3, it is now $15.

Regards, Eric.