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To: foundation who wrote (84468)	10/23/2000 5:09:41 PM
From: EJhonsa	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 152472

Ben, I read through that older post of yours, as well as the one on the "corespondance" you came across, and you seem to make an interesting argument. Assuming that LAS-CDMA IPR will be integrated into the specifications, I agree that it's very unlikely that Qualcomm, Lucent, Samsung, and the rest would give such a "gift", as you put it, without getting some major concessions from the Chinese. However, even if the final 3x specifications do include LAS-CDMA IPR (I agree here that there's a good chance that they will), based on this result, to automatically assume that China Mobile will be exclusively using cdma2000 for 3G might be jumping the gun a little. There's a huge difference between taking a small, existing IS/95 CDMA network and doing some upgrades to it, and having one of the world's largest GSM carriers attempt to, over time, move its entire subscriber base to a fully backwards-incompatible standard. You asked what incentive the Chinese government would have in making China Mobile use W-CDMA. The incentive lies in not scrapping an entire GSM-MAP (and eventually GPRS) core that's cost billions of dollars to create. The royalties that the Chinese would receive would have to be pretty significant in order to offset that cost. Who knows, maybe it'll happen, but it still doesn't seem very clear-cut to me. For now, trying to stay cautious, I'll continue to assume that China Mobile will go for W-CDMA in new spectrum, while Unicom (the publicly traded version), thanks to this concession taking place, will "chose" to go for cdma2000. Eric