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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (30487)10/23/2000 1:56:36 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
this referred exclusively to the activities on Wednesday. when buyers for 1,700 spoos showed up at the limit down price with cash continuing to plunge, you could be reasonably certain that manipulation was taking place. no-one would seriously put in orders like that on their investment merit.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (30487)10/23/2000 2:05:57 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Notorious 'Dennis' out of Chicago futzing with the A$:

US dealer accused of trashing Aussie dollar

SYDNEY (AFP) - - A US
currency trader was
accused here Sunday of
playing a key role in the slump
of the Australian dollar, which
hit an all time low last week
amid desperate government
efforts to prop it up.

As analysts search for an
explanation for Australia
simultaneously having one of
the world's strongest
economies and one of its
weakest currencies,
Sydney's Sun-Herald named
Chicago-based speculator
Richard Dennis as the
principle cause of the slump of the "Aussie".

Dennis is said to have sold 400 million Australian dollars (208 million US) on January 28,
sparking an avalanche against the Aussie from which it has never recovered -- "because
he saw an opportunity to make a quick buck."

The selling has continued ever since and the dollar, which reached a six-month high of
66.64 US cents in January, had dropped 22.5 percent to an all-time low 51.65 US cents last
week before clawing its way back above 52 cents.

Australian Treasurer Peter Costello has spent the last few days in New York trying to prop
up the local currency.

He spoke to major Wall Street traders and influential investors to try to persuade them to
reassess it in the light of Australia's sound economic fundamentals, such as a strong
budget surplus, low inflation and rising productivity.

He will also attend this week's meeting in Montreal, Canada, of the G20 group of nations to
discuss, among other issues, international currency instablity and options for dealing with
it.

The meeting will also discuss the persistent weakness of the euro, which has also been
targeted by currency traders in recent weeks.

Dennis was described as a big-time speculator who turned 400 US dollars into a personal
fortune of more than 200 million US dollars in the last 18 years, using what he called "the
turtle system" -- identifying a trend and sticking to it.

His assault on the Aussie began when he saw data showing Australia's lower than
expected inflation rate as a signal that the country would not raise interest rates as they
were expected to do in the United States.

His decision to dump the Aussie saw it plunge that day by more than five percent, a fall of 3
US cents, to 62.25 US -- its biggest one day drop in three years.

Dennis could not be reached for comment, but his colleague Wesley Covel told the
Sun-Herald: "The Aussie dollar has become a great currency to short and make money as
it sinks downward.

"Lots of money is being made as it goes down."

Selling short means betting how low the currency will go over the next few hours. When
traders all over the world do this it drives the curency down, regardless of what its true
levels should be.

If true -- and many observers here have suspected it for months -- it makes a mockery of
comments by supposed experts about the likely causes of the depreciation.

Some analysts have linked it to Australia's persistently high current account deficit or to
the fact that Australia is perceived as having an old economy dependent on primary exports
and inadequate hi-tech industry.

But, according to the Sun-Herald, speculators like Richard Dennis and Wesley Covel know
or care little about the shape of the Australian economy.

"Who cares if the economy is sound?" said Covel. "The trend is down, so traders short the
currency. It's as simple as that."

DAK