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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Carolyn who wrote (190)10/30/2000 1:58:35 PM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
Cisco's Electoral Vote Prediction as of 10/30/2000

Bush Safe: AK-3, AL-9, AZ-8, CO-8, GA-13, ID-4, IN-12, KS-6, KY-8, LA-9, MS-7, MT-3, NC-14, ND-3, NE-5, OK-8, SC-8, SD-3, TX-32, UT-5, VA-13, & WY-3 for 184 votes.

Bush Leaning: IA-7, NV-4, OH-21, PA-23, TN-11, WV-5 for 71 votes.

Bush Total: 255 electoral votes.

Gore Safe: CT-8, CA-54, DC-3, DE-3, HI-4, MD-10, MA-12, NJ-15, NY-33, RI-4, & VT-3 for 149 votes.

Gore Leaning: FL-25, & IL-22 for 47 votes.

Gore Total: 196 electoral votes.

BUSH NEEDS 15 ELECTORAL VOTES
GORE NEEDS 74 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-up: AR-6, ME-4, MI-18, MN-10, MO-11, NH-4, NM-5, OR-7, WA-11, & WI-11 for 87 electoral votes.

Cisco's Battleground States:

STATE DATE POLL GORE BUSH NADER OTHER UND MOE
AR 10-6 POA 43 41 2 3 11 3

FL 10-25 POA 45 46 2 1 5 3
10-23 FL-VOTER 41 46 4 3 6 4
10-24 CBS/NYTIMES 46 42 3 1 8 4
10-24 ARG 49 45 2 4
10-29 Zogby Track. 49 42 3 4

IL 10-22 CHIC-SUNTIMES 45 43 4 4 3 3.9
10-23 P0A 44 40 3 2 11 3
10-26 FOX NEWS 43 44 4
10-26 CHIC-TRIBUNE 45 35 3
10-29 Zogby Track. 48 41 3 4

IA 10-14 POA 40 46 3 1 10 3

ME 10-21 POA 39 43 5 3 10 3
10-23 ME-POLL 43 34 5

MI 10-29 POA 43 43 5 1 8 3
10-24 ARG 46 43 5 2 4 4
10-25 EPIC MRA 44 42 4 1 9 4
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 5 2 8 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 42 41 4
10-26 DETROIT NEWS 42 42 3
10-26 Marketing Res 39 45 5
10-29 Zogby Track. 46 45 3 4

MN 10-13 POA 38 38 8 4 13 3
10-24 ST. CLOUD UNV 38 41 10 4.5

MO 10-16 RESEARCH 2000 41 42 4
10-23 POA 42 46 2 2 8 3
10-25 Masion-Dixon 44 45 4 1 4
10-29 Zogby Track. 45 47 3 4

NH 10-18 RESEARCH 2000 44 41 4
10-22 POA 38 46 6 3 8 3

NM 9-26 POA 41 44 5 2 8 3
9-28 NM ST UNIV 42 42 4
9-30 MASON-DIXON 41 44 5

OR 10-21 POA 38 43 7 2 9 3
10-24 ARG 41 45 10 4

PA 10-29 POA 42 45 4 2 8 3
10-18 CFLI 42 42 4 2 10 4
10-24 ARG 48 43 2 1 6 4
10-26 TARRENCE/LAKE 45 40 5 5 5 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 46 39 4
10-29 Zogby Track. 42 45 4 4

TN 9-27 MASON-DIXON 43 46 4
10-18 MEDIA GENERAL 45 43 5
10-21 POA 43 47 2 1 6 3

WA 10-19 POA 41 41 7 2 8 3
10-20 ELWAY 46 37 4
10-22 PEW 45 45 4.5
10-29 Zogby Track. 46 43 6 4

WV 10-18 POA 42 44 3 2 9 3
10-24 OH STATE 37 46 4
10-23 RYAN-MCGINN 36 47 4

WI 10-24 POA 41 45 4 1 6 3
10-24 ST NORBERT 46 39 5 3 7 4.8
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 6 3 6 4.9
10-21 Harris 40 49 5 1 5 4
10-29 Zogby Track. 49 40 6 4