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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nichols who wrote (245)10/31/2000 10:14:01 AM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
Pollster a closet Republican, perhaps?

I think he is taking into account that historically the polls under estimate the Republican vote.

Along the same line of thought. People wonder how the NY TIMES has Hillary way ahead while Zogby has her behind. It turns out that the main difference in the two polls is the estimate of NY city vote. NY TIMES estimates that 31 percent of the vote will come from NY city while Zogby estimates 29 percent. As you can see from this only a slight difference im methodology can make a big difference in the poll. I am using this years races as a learning experience. Since I am not working this year, I have the time for the first time to follow things closely. I actually enjoy it although I am a little concern about the closeness of the race. If you check my profile you will see I am definitely a Bush supporter. So take that for what it is worth.<g>



To: Nichols who wrote (245)10/31/2000 10:28:25 AM
From: Elvis Jones  Respond to of 6710
 
Then why does it show Jean Carnahan beating John Ashcroft? POA had Ashcroft up by 10 when Mel died. Then it moved twice. First Ashcroft by 3, now Carnahan by 2.

Additionally, POA just moved Tennessee in Gore's favor - now showing it a clear tossup (Bush by 1).

Americans are closet Republicans, perhaps?