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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Eric P who wrote (10540)11/1/2000 1:39:31 PM
From: Wayners  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18137
 
I totally agree. To me the test of efficiency is in the charts. With 100% efficiency I'd expect every price move to be preceded by a gap up or gap down with no trades executed in between. The size and direction of the gaps would be 100% unpredictable. I also don't think prices would move or gap very often--only on real news not on supply demand imblance information. Efficiency would require achieving instantaneous price equilibrium and no supply/demand imbalances after new information is obtained. all would have to receive the same information siumulataneoulsly and all agree exactly on the what the new price should be.

In reality it takes time and trial and error to determine where the equilibrium of supply and demand will fall and there should be oscillations around the right level before price finally settles down and balances (Samuelson Economics). Thats the reality and what we do is capitalize on those oscillations for profit because nobody can eliminate the trial and error period and supply/demand imbalances in a short period of time. Liquidity, float, varying pricing models all add to the inefficiency.



To: Eric P who wrote (10540)11/2/2000 1:36:26 AM
From: Dustin  Respond to of 18137
 
efficient market hypothesis

It's funny you mention this. I just learned about it in my night class tonight. Sometimes you guys (Alan, Eric, Wayne etc.) amaze me with your intelligence!

Thanks,
Dustin