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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: chomolungma who wrote (427)	11/5/2000 9:49:17 PM
From: Cisco	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6710

I was puzzled by your PA prediction going for Gore. Was the Drudge report of Republican internal polling a factor in your allocation to Gore? No the Drudge report didn't play apart in that. I read the leading papers in PA today and looked at the polls I had, and felt like it was trending Gore. Polls seems to come in two groups this year. Those that are calling today for a 1 to 4 point Bush advantage and those that are calling for a 7 to 9 point Bush advantage. There is about and an equal amount of polls in each camp. I believe the election is beginning to break for Bush. If an election goes 7 to 9 points for Bush, then the electoral college count should be at least in the mid 300's. I knew people would be surprised by my predictions. I went out on a limb and going against the paid pundits. We will see if I am right or not. I reserve the right to make adjustments tomorrow.<g>