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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:02:22 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
f*ck him... they're toast



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:06:08 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
double top on MER???



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:07:05 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
the fed must cut rates to save gold prices from crashing, yeah right



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:10:29 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
I hear it...but if Dubya wins (about a 95% certainty at this point, IMO) I think AG won't want to cut anytime soon, due to the threat of massive tax cuts and public funds being poured into SS (a bad idea, IMO).

That the clowns are spinning it the other way is to be expected (therefore my exit from the hated derivative king this am).

Calls on MRK and PFE might be nice in here...



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:30:27 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Cramer was saying earlier that the fed would be a backstop later [2nd quarter], and then the virtous cyle can continue... until they stay with ultra fast growers and out of cyclicals and medium growers. He's so sure of himself it's pretty funny.

dAK



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 12:57:04 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
is it that far fetched?



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (34090)11/6/2000 1:32:55 PM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
Heinz, I don't think this bear market will be the "pushing on string" 1930's variety for the US. You are quite correct to point out Japan as current example of same. However, I think the big Japanese money pump didn't work for two reasons.

1. The money was spent building "bridges to nowhere" and not encouraging internal consumption.
2. The demographic mix in Japan is still horrible - too many old folks not spending money in their dotage.

The US immigration numbers posted by Les Horowitz indicate to me one last consumer driven boom, and that lower rates will work their old black magic once again. However, this particular bear market is far from over. There are still a tremendous amount of exceedingly shaky credits out there in the world economy that need to be purged. Until that process is well on it's way to completion no new bull market can unfold.

I simply hope it doesn't get too far out of control. It might though. But the next bear market will be the big kahuna, when nothing will work.