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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doughboy who wrote (460)11/6/2000 12:23:48 PM
From: chomolungma  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
I will rely on Zogby. He has been the most reliable pollster over the last 8 years or so.

With all due respect, I think you have picked the most extreme of the polls to hang your hat on. Let's look at the polls that have been released in the last 2 days.

ABC: Bush by 4

NY Times: Bush by 5

Gallup: Bush by 5

Investor's Business Daily: Bush by 9

PEW: Bush by 3

CBS: Bush by 2

WSJ: Bush by 3

Voter.com: Bush by 9

POA: Bush by 7

Since the sampling error on most of these polls is around 3%, I think it's fairly easy to see that Bush is about 5% ahead and any poll that has him 1% ahead is a statistical oddity.

Furthermore, I believe that most polls show Bush voters more likely to vote and that will enhance the margin.



To: Doughboy who wrote (460)11/6/2000 1:41:45 PM
From: Venditâ„¢  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
If I may make a slight correction to what you said about Zogby.........he is a registered Democrat not a Republican.

The DRUDGE REPORT has obtained the Bush campaign's most recent internal polling data.

The confidential data commissioned by Bush shows the Texas Governor topping Vice President Gore by 5% in Florida, 9% in Michigan and by 2% in California, within the margin of error.

The fresh results have given senior Bush staffers a deepened sense of confidence going into Tuesday's election.

MORE

Bush's internal polling shows the governor up 4% in Washington state and up 10% in Missouri. One sour spot for Bush: Pennsylvania, where he finds himself down 2% into the homestretch.

A campaign spokesman refused comment on the polling leak.



drudgereport.com