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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jmac who wrote (12030)	11/6/2000 9:58:58 PM
From: abstract	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 65232

over time one gets a sense of a given poster's basic attitude and approach to the market (and life?). my sense is that there is a constant and quantifiable difference between your opinion and market behavior. it is not as if i have graphed your opinions and correlated them to market behavior, but i have a sense, and as such i read what you think - throw in the "constant" and get an idea of what is "really" going to happen. some people are always more negative than reality, some a bit more positive, etc, but consistently so - and some are all over the place. do you come up with your opinion, look at it, say to yourself, "cool, things aren't really that bad - the naz isn't going to go down 38 points like i feel, but go up 12 like i know?" that's how i tend to read your contributions - i wonder if one could make more money by quantifying your guidance than you do by following it. i do this with myself - i tend to be spontaneous, the light goes off and i make my purchase - over time my investments pan out - but it makes me hold longer than i thought it was going to because invariably the stocks i buy go down or tread for a week or two because i look at the big picture and miss the significance of the immediate factors. i am now learning to be more methodical and patient. how about you? do you think you are right on, or do you see your constant fallibility the way i see mine?