To: ItsAllCyclical who wrote (78549 ) 11/10/2000 6:24:16 PM From: cnyndwllr Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453 OT-Election <<I have yet to see one liberal on this thread respond to the basic fact that there were 14,000 votes double punched in Palm county in the last election. This election had heavy turnout. 19,000 is not statistically significant imho.>> Jim, I don't think I'm a liberal, however compared to many on this thread I may be. I do think you raised an interesting question. The issue is how you count the 19k and the 14k. According to a Florida democrat on Fox late last night, there were over 30,000 ballots invalidated in Palm county this election compared to 14k last time around. If he is correct, the difference in the numbers is evidently based on the distinction between all ballots incorrectly marked (>30k) and those double marked for president (app. 19k.) A cnn article seems to lend some support to this concept.cnn.com That article says that a democrat, Wexler, <<alleged that some 19,120 county ballots for the presidential race were tossed out before they were counted because more than one candidate was picked. Only 3,783 voters made that mistake on the U.S. Senate portion of the ballot.>> This seems to incicate that more than 19,120 total ballots were invalidated. I think that we will probably see a lot of instances on both sides of advocates using numbers to mislead and distort. Another instance of this is the representation that the Buchanon numbers in Palm county can be accounted for as a result of his strength there leading up to this election. If the other jurisdictions are compared, this was clearly an anomaly. I have heard numbers about how he fared there in earlier elections, however it is my understanding that that was in a republican primary. Even more interesting is his own reported take on the issue as revealed in the cnn article: Buchanan himself expressed remorse that he may have garnered votes that weren't meant for him, telling NBC's Today program this morning: "My guess is, I probably got some votes down there that really did not belong to me, and I do not feel well about that. I don't want to take any votes that do not belong to me." Finally, I believe that I read that there were 2300 overseas mail in ballots cast last year and about the same number are expected this year. W will not get all of them. If 70% of them are for him, the additional swing would be a net of about 900 votes to GW. That still leaves the vote recount as the most pivotal determinant. With regard to the early reporting of a Gore victory in Florida before the voting closed in the panhandle, Do you think this affected any Gore-Nader voters who would have voted for Gore if they thought it mattered, but instead chose to "waste" what they thought was an inconsequential vote on Nader? Having said all of that, I belive that Gore had ample chances to win this election and shouldn't complain about a bad call if the instant replay (careful recount) substantiates it. I agree that it would be inapropriate to make voter fraud inquiries in some jurisdictions and not others and with that with this election so close in so many states, the result would be a huge undertaking that would call into question the integrity of the process itself. I think this is a good reason to leave the electoral college out of the process in the future since the incentive to cheat in any small jurisdiction in an election with over 100,000,000 votes to be cast would be much smaller. I wonder what this will do to the term of whoever is elected. I'm sure that if the recount or any challenges put Gore in office, ultra-conservatives will never, ever let it rest. The same for ultra-liberals if Bush wins on the recount and the courts don't intervene. I bet that either way we are looking at a one term president here. Ed