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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TraderGreg who wrote (1605)11/10/2000 6:12:26 PM
From: David Howe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
<< He did a curve fit(Regression) of Buchanan's vote on Bush's vote for all 67 counties in FL. >>

This so called curve fails to take into account the fact that one of Buchanan's relatives live in Palm Beach and that there was a massive spike in Reform Party registrations in the recent past. Also, Palm Beach had an extremely high % of Buchanan voters in 1996.

Throw the garbage that guy called a study in the trash can.

Dave



To: TraderGreg who wrote (1605)11/10/2000 6:28:43 PM
From: Don Pueblo  Respond to of 6710
 
Oz?



To: TraderGreg who wrote (1605)11/10/2000 7:06:06 PM
From: Susan G  Respond to of 6710
 
workingforchange.com



To: TraderGreg who wrote (1605)11/10/2000 10:17:01 PM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 6710
 
Hi Greg,

You may be interested in the following tabular format.
Message 14760018

C-SPAN2 just rebroadcast today's "Mike Gallagher Show", a syndicated radio talk show. Bay Buchanan, Pat's sister and campaign manager was on the program and she reiterated that the Buchanans are certain that the Palm Beach County results are indeed an outlier. Ms. Buchanan stated that the Buchanans had not campaigned south of Duval County (Jacksonville) and the Florida panhandle in over a year.

You will notice on the tabular form that the only other county with a vote total for Buchanan greater than 1,000 is Pinellas County.

I've been trying to sort out the relationships of the Buchanan candidacy and the voter registration rolls:
election.dos.state.fl.us
Buchanan ran on the Reform Party ticket. In Palm Beach County, there are 337 voters registered in the Reform Party and 3,407 votes for Buchanan as the Reform Party candidate.

Carl Rove, chief strategist for the Bush-Cheney campaign states that we need to incorporate the Independent Party and the American Reform Party as well. I'm curious if anyone on the thread can explain to me the status of the Independent Party and its relationship to the Buchanan campaign. Is it in fact the case, as Rove suggests, that there is a concentration of folks in Palm Beach County who would plausibly be voting for Mr. Buchanan. And do they prefer Church's Fried Chicken to Zabar's?

-Ray



To: TraderGreg who wrote (1605)11/11/2000 3:29:39 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 6710
 
OK. So there are lies, d**med lies, and statistics.