SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Bakunin who wrote (85497)11/15/2000 2:21:24 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
mb -

...Then, you arbitrarily adjust ratios "inwards", without noting the very, very odd fact that while the Bush/McCollum ratios are as expected, i.e. greater than one in accordance with the usual ballot falloff, that the Gore/Nelson ratios are anomalous at less than one. What, in all the counties more Democrats voted for senator than for president? (A couple-percent Nader vote doesn't explain a 0.9 ratio when the expected number is greater than 1.) Where you see these numbers implying missing votes for W, I see something awfully strange in the Gore ratios. What's the overall ratio in each county of votes for president to votes for senator? Do you have another explanation for the huge disparity in ratios? ...

Thanks for making me look to answer your questions.

Going back to full precinct data for Palm Bay, and including ALL votes, There were 435,638 total Senate votes and 432,286 total Presidential votes, 3352 less votes for President. This is a ratio of 0.9923, undoubtedly due to rejected Presidential votes outweighing ballots with no Senate votes.

For the data I used, including only the Democratic and Republican candidates, the ratio of Presidential votes to Senatorial votes for each county varied between .9576 and 1.3234. Overall the ratio of Presidential votes to Senatorial votes was 1.0258. The reason that this differs from the lower ratios you noted for Gore/Nelson is a combination of third party Presidential candidates and the fact that Bush must draw more Nelson votes than Gore draws McCollum votes. This only adds to the hypothesis of missing Bush votes, subject to your comments.

Regards, Don