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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dave Gore who wrote (117024)11/20/2000 1:13:12 PM
From: Jenna  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 120523
 
CSCO had reached the low of the day. MUSE is no longer aMUSing but quite sorrowful to those long this blimp. We have been putting up MUSE's earnings multiples for the past 7 weeks as an example of this market's blinders... Everyone thinking these stocks deserve their triple digit prices, but of course you don't believe it until you actually are seeing the slaughter. MUSE, the MUSE is no longer an inspiration but has lost its poetic license.



To: Dave Gore who wrote (117024)11/20/2000 1:41:41 PM
From: MrBuzz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 120523
 
Why cite fundamentals when you are clearly trading the stock for a daytrade? All you care about is movement and price/support/resistance levels along with T&S/LII/LIII at that point. Fundamentals in a daytraders arsenal is extra baggage of rational/irrationalization, is it not?

I don't think the P/E statement was misleading in any way. Although before the earnings came out, the P/E was 400+ as these sites show:

quote.yahoo.com
marketguide.com

With a 7 cents EPS for last quarter, whats EBAY's P/E now? How about a "meager" 200+ p/e?

Any analyst knows that EBAY still has a piggy P/E. And the 172% growth is a same quarter growth, not indicative of the historical trend. That kind of rationalization wouldn't have worked if you were long prior to today's open...

Sometimes, one has to zoom out on historicals to see the bigger picture.

My calculations show that EBAY's projected 3-5 year growth sits at around 48% a year. Given it started out at $5 a share roughly in 1998, maintain a 48% trend 5 years out projects fair price at roughly $37 in year 2003.

Here's the math:

1998 $5
1999 $7.50
2000 $11.25
2001 $16.75
2002 $25.00
2003 $37.50
-----------
2004 $55.00
2005 $82.00
2006 $120.00
2007 $180.00

Something tells me EBAY isn't worth $34 even after its dump....

Also interesting, notice today's high is roughly near 2003 "Buzz Estimates".

Good luck....

MrBuzz
whats-the-buzz.com