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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jcky who wrote (20857)	11/29/2000 8:51:46 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 65232

the key to the US stock market for next four months: Fed and US$ you said it, man, you speak my language: Keep an eye on the US dollar. If the US dollar starts to fall, Uncle Al and the Feds will have their hands tied and will be unable to sustain a longer term trend of lowering interest rates. Greenspan had better start cutting rates before the largest market in the world does, the currency market for those who are unfamiliar with this concept... the Treasury Bond yield is like a dividend paid to owners of the USdollar, not exactly but close... as Greenspan cuts rates, the bond market response will be to have yields rise slightly... this compensates and attracts US$ buyers and attains equilibrium if Greenspan does NOT cut rates, then we might see a problem develop in our bond market... he will eventually cut rates while TBond yields are ALREADY rising... timing for Greeny is essential the longer Greenie waits, the harder the Soft Landing and the higher TBond yield might be if the currency markets do the job first by the way: LAST SOFT LANDING CULMINATED IN ASIAN MELTDOWN abolish the Fed Greeny and the Fed Governors cause recessions and temporary global panics / Jim

To: jcky who wrote (20857)	11/29/2000 9:04:38 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

images and the President Election Gore appeared two nights ago nationally to justify his contest Gore appeared again next noon to do damage control Gore now has NO spokesman or spokeswoman he appears small, weak, alone, appealing for sympathy as much as support Gore today appeared once more, on Today Show he is starting to bother Democrats for not using a spokesman and not giving off a presidential air Lieberman was sacrificed on certification night he came across like an undersized pitbull he is so small, and noticeably absent Bush appeared on certification night, but looked stiff now he is seen acting like a governor and perhaps PrezElect Cheney appeared day after cert night to wrest proper images he seemed steady, unemotional, professional, experienced they rolled him out of the hospital so fast he has been described by some as "the only adult out there" watch out when tomorrow's image is: Bush & Cheney with Colin Powell perhaps when minorities see Powell they will begin to break ranks from Democrat support of Gore Gore seems to be to at a big disadvantage nobody of large Demo stature is standing up I dont know WHO among Demos is of large stature Carter? perhaps Gephardt and Daschle? not a chance Mondale? long gone Bradley? he hates Gore, predictably silent Byrd? no way, but love his hair Hillary? yeah, but she is still a private citizen we hear that Gore's support among Demos is firm I say it is superficially evident, even forced, obligatory everyone is saying among Demo circles that Gore has no chance mantra "we want a full, accurate, complete counting of votes" this will become a joke that embarrasses soon if not already / Jim