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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (63364)	11/29/2000 9:46:12 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 99985

8% equity is bearable, as half is accounted for puts on NEM (12.5) and SWC (25), expiration January. I have downloaded and printed out the reports from the URLs kindly provided by folks here. Very heavy and lots of forest used. I am figuring on (a) construction income & expense statement of everymen 1990(one earning $50k and one earning $100k) and balance sheet, (b) assuming that no one wants to retire on a lesser income than they were then currently getting, inflation adjusted (c) constructing income/expense and balance sheet for everymen 2000 (one earning $100k and one earning $200k), inflation adjust 1990 retirement pot amount (d) pencil in the attributable gains via NASDAQ/DOW over the past 10 years and the capital gain via real estate, noting increase of leverage in house and stock account (e) comparing current balance sheet state to state desired when retiring in 2010, vs 1990 state to balance desired when retiring in 2010 (f) infer point of panic trigger, say realization that the last x years of gain has vaporized and 2010 retirement in serious doubt assuming long term stock return of 10%, or say at which point is everymen worse off today than in 1990. If the leverage (magic) in the system is large for everymen, then the panic point can be reached far quicker than the NASDAQ reaching from 500 to 5000. I feel relatively safe to assume that no subsequent baby boomlet will be lining up to buy the stocks and homes of the babyboomers, and that no foreigners will do so either, at least not at current market clearing prices. Any ideas would be welcomed.

To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (63364)	11/30/2000 9:23:59 AM
From: HairBall	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Joel Gander: YHOO seems to be near a point of consolidation. Will it be a reversal or a bearish consolidation…the price action will have to let us know! My Intraday/Daily – YHOO (Yahoo) Daily Semi-log Chart Falling resistance lines are not as strong as rising support lines. However, as with YHOO after such a topping process followed by an extensive decline, the charts often only leave falling support lines and horizontal support lines. As with rising resistance lines in uptrending markets, falling support lines in extensive downturns are more often violated than when formed in uptrend pullbacks. Of course, steep declining support lines as with steep rising resistance lines often portend at least a retrace as the rate of ascent or descent of the trend can not be maintained and at least, temporally exhaust. Using real time technical indicators coupled with SRLs one can get a feel which support is going to hold. YHOO is close to at least an intraday and possible a short-term reversal per my intraday indicators, but not yet supported by the dailies. If YHOO has not already begun a consolidation on the 28th, I believe the 32/33 area should support one. Of course, the overall market should influence this stock. lgscharts.homestead.com How to Interpret My Charts marketdirectionanalysis.homestead.com Regards, LG Disclaimer: The above is my opinion only and I reserve the right to be wrong. Do not base any investment decision solely on any one person's views or analysis. Do your own research and take responsibility for your investment decisions.