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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Steve K who wrote (4302)	12/2/2000 8:14:07 PM
From: TraderGreg	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6710

I would agree with you Steve except for one thing...I did catch a portion where the statistician had to explain what a ratio was. Now, he wasn't condescending about it, but you could see his frustration. The judge(who is a good ole boy) will probably focus on his '98 ballot mistake rather than the real issue: Ho: The undervote with optical scanners is identical to the undervote with punch card ballots. I never did hear the exact level of significance on that rejected null...(haven't watched the whole taping). But the problem is that it has been swept under the rug by his snafu on the other irrelevant isssue...irrelevant wrt to the null hypothesis but very relevant to the judge's perception of the guy's case. TG

To: Steve K who wrote (4302)	12/2/2000 10:29:32 PM
From: Ilaine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6710

Both the senatorial race and the gubernatorial race in 1998 were in the first row - yet the statistician said that they had different undervote rates which he attributed to the fact that they were on different rows, which supports the demographer's theories about the extra wear and tear on the machine's first row. My recollection is that he said that the difference in undervotes between the first two races in 2000 was statistically similar to the difference between the first row and other rows in the 2000 race. Since the senatorial and gubernatorial races in 1998 were NOT on different rows, what explains the difference in undervotes? It has to be something he didn't consider.