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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Northern Marlin who wrote (8367)	12/4/2000 10:55:46 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10042

You still have not made an argument why Gore would receive more votes in a manual recount in counties where he got the majority of the votes in the original count. The argument is simple. The history of manual recounts shows that they pick up some votes that the machines missed, as we see in Florida. Assuming the voting pattern of these new votes does not deviate sharply from the voting pattern of the machine-counted votes, the net effect of the manual recount will be to benefit the candidate who won the machine count. Now, why is this simple deduction too hard to follow? I agree with you that the Miami Dade four precinct recount cannot be linearly extrapolated to the whole of the county as the Gore lawyers have attempted to do. But this does not invalidate the original point. A manual recount of Miami Dade will be likely to benefit Gore because he carried the county. It is just unlikely to be as large a benefit as his lawyers have claimed.