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Strategies & Market Trends : Elliott Wave Theory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: David W. Taylor who wrote (2)	12/6/2000 11:20:27 PM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 43

Below is a link to a time series representing approximately 27 years of price fluctuations. You are welcome to use elliot wave analysis techniques to predict the last 4 years of this series. Plot of time series: members.home.net Data file: members.home.net You don't have to be detailed in your predictions, just tell me if it trended up or down. I would however, like to see your analysis/identification of the cycles evident in the series.

To: David W. Taylor who wrote (2)	12/7/2000 11:27:12 AM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 43

"From a presumed 1995 peak, Fibonacci numbers point to the following years as possibly providing turning points within the bear market: 1995+3 years = 1998 1995+5 years = 2000 1995+8 years = 2003 The inflation adjusted Dow also indicates an important turning point around that time, as shown by the following Fibonacci time spans: -The end of wave (II) in 1859+144 = 2003 -The end of wave (IV) in 1948+55 = 2003 -The end of wave (V) in 196+34 = 2000 -The end of wave (A) in 1982+21 = 2003 These list of dates unequivocally support the years 1998, 2000, and particularly 2003 as probable years for the first major bottom." Prechter, R. R. (1995). "AT THE CREST OF THE TIDAL WAVE". Gainsville, Georgia: New Classics Library.