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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sandeep who wrote (37801)12/10/2000 3:05:55 PM
From: Jack T. Pearson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
Does anyone believe that voters for one candidate are more likely to dimple a ballot, leave a chad hanging by one corner, leave a chad hanging by two corners, or leave a chad hanging by three corners? If not, any standard you set simply sets the size of the sample you are counting. You won't get much variation in the ratio of Gore/Bush votes based on the changes in sample size. Relative (%) margin won't change, but absolute margin will get bigger as the sample size gets bigger.

A far bigger factor in the election is whether the voting equipment in a heavily Democrat or Republican precinct is different such that it produces a greater or lesser number of ballots that aren't read by the counting machine. No one has any data to test that hypothesis.

I wonder what the odds are on this election right now. They must be at least 50/1 for Bush.