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To: AllansAlias who wrote (47879)12/14/2000 7:27:06 PM
From: UnBelievable  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Imagine If You Could Get Market Timing Advice Like This On A Real Time Basis

Message 13937383



To: AllansAlias who wrote (47879)12/14/2000 7:46:32 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
The F Fund is invested primarily in the Barclays U.S. Debt Index Fund, a commingled
bond index fund designed to track as closely as possible the Lehman Brothers U.S.
Aggregate (LBA) index. The LBA represents U.S. Here is the description of the bond fund:

>>Government, corporate, and
mortgage-backed securities sectors of the fixed-income securities market.
Fixed-income securities represent obligations of issuers (the borrowers) to repay the
amount borrowed (the principal) to holders of the securities at maturity. These
securities, which include bonds, notes, and debentures, usually pay interest semiannually
until maturity.<<

I wanted him to think it over because I thought he was being impulsive. He used to be 80-20 stocks to T-bills, and I got him to switch to 60-40 this summer. Since he can only switch once a month, he can't avoid what will occur between now and the end of the year, whatever it is.

He says that all the earnings warnings make him think we are heading into a recession. But what if the market has already discounted it? What if the Fed cuts rates? Even if the bull market is dead, does that mean the S&P 500 isn't a prudent place to park money you can't touch for 30 years?