SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bob Davis who wrote (54804)1/2/2001 9:11:36 PM
From: Dave  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
MSFT corrected back toward its economic value, in a move that is sometimes described as a "reversion to the mean."

I would accept that if we weren't in the process of violently deflating a bubble. When bubbles deflate, overvalued bubble equities don't "revert to the mean." They invariably overshoot their fair value and become undervalued.

Watch for a MSFT share price in the teens this year or next. If it breaks below $10/share, I might even buy some. MSFT has $5.89/share in current assets, and has annual operating earnings of about $2.05/share. $10/share would be equal to cash plus 2x earnings. If you think that is absurdly low, you should go buy some AAPL, which is selling for that right now.

Dave



To: Bob Davis who wrote (54804)1/4/2001 7:50:42 AM
From: Joseph Pareti  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74651
 
re MSFT has been overvalued by the market for the last several years

assuming M$FT was indeed "overvalued" what would you call
yhoo, amzn, lycos, e-bay, e-toys, e-crap,... ?