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To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 2:21:58 PM
From: Gary Ng  Respond to of 186894
 
GV, Re: A move this drastic worries me. Greenspan is a gradualist. A sharp move means that the economy is much worse off than we think. And this isn't just my normal (blue) devil's advocate speaking, this is real worry

I have the same opinion, even back before the December meeting, I have said that if there was a 25 point cut, I would take the opportunity for the rally to adjust my position.

gary



To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 2:23:10 PM
From: deibutfeif  Respond to of 186894
 
GV, re:...A sharp move means that the economy is much worse off than we think...

great, the Fed goes from not recognizing the problem to panic.(?) :^/

~dbf



To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 2:25:16 PM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
GV, this 1/2 basis point cut is no bigger than the 1/2 basis point raises we got last year, is it?

He should have started earlier, 1/4 is a nit, maybe they realize that they smashed into smithereens a damn solid economy for little inflationary threat and a lousy quarter wouldn't have done anything.

Tony



To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 2:39:08 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
GVTucker,<<<A move this drastic worries me. Greenspan is a gradualist. A sharp move means that the economy is much worse off than we think. >>>

It doesn't mean a thing. AG is not a computer program. He is after all a very political animal.

Yes, he caved when he raised the last 50 basis points and he caved in giving it back.

There is nothing fundamentally wrong with the economy - just a lot of people screwing around with something they don't really understand.

It's not the economy, stupid <ggg>, it's economists that should scare us.

Mary



To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 2:46:02 PM
From: Road Walker  Respond to of 186894
 
GV,

re: "A move this drastic worries me. Greenspan is a gradualist. A sharp move means that the economy is much worse off than we think. And this isn't just my normal (blue) devil's advocate speaking, this is real worry."

I am pretty convinced that things are going downhill fast. And I think the market is convinced. Better to get some significant action than to go through earnings announcements without a light at the end of the tunnel.

But I know what you are saying. Hard to believe they didn't go to a neutral bias in October. IMO that's when they got behind the curve, now they have caught up, but it took a dramatic move.

John



To: GVTucker who wrote (124092)1/3/2001 9:12:26 PM
From: Amy J  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Hi GV, RE: "A sharp move means that the economy is much worse off than we think. "

When was the last time he lowered rates by .5 BP?

Regards,
Amy J