To: Jerome who wrote (41302 ) 1/5/2001 12:23:08 PM From: John Trader Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976 Jerome, I have been thinking a lot about this sort of thing lately. Prior to 2000 being a tech investor was at times like being a contrarian. In early 2000 Wall Street's MBAs seemed to be embracing tech stocks, and look what happened after that. In some ways I am amazed at how so many professionals seem to be turning bearish on technology after such a huge cut in prices last year. Such a move does not seem to make sense for one with a longer term view, since technology is the growth engine of our economy. All this, plus the Fed starting to cut rates, tends to make me very bullish. However, I checked the bull/bear statistics in Investors Business Daily on Tuesday (printed before the Fed rate cut), and the percentage of bulls was listed at about 51%, which is more bearish than anything else. If we just had more bears, then I think we would have already hit bottom for sure. Speaking of bears, this guy was on CNBC this morning saying the Fed needs to cut rates a lot more, and fast, or the markets are going to go into a tailspin. Those were not his exact words, but I think this describes his view. He sees the 50 bp cut as way too late, and thinks it is not going to work unless there are other big cuts real soon that follow. Time will tell I guess. This is the week that is supposed to set the tone for the the month of January in the market, and January is supposed to set the tone for the year. As I type this post, the Nasdaq is right at where it was at the start of the week, so unless we get a rally later today, this first week of January is not going to look too good. But then, if everything keeps going the way we do not expect, then maybe this January rule will be be broken this year. John