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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (65915)	1/5/2001 12:20:12 AM
From: Boplicity	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Let me ask a couple questions so I know where you are coming from. How long have you been in the market? How old are you? What's the longest you have held a stock? What's the longest you have been a bull? Do you mainly trade? Do you have any long term holdings, and how long have you held them? Thanks, Greg

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (65915)	1/5/2001 12:41:49 AM
From: Boplicity	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

So you are basing your calls on investors, big and small, still do not realize after all the selling we had for the last 8 months, that earnings will be bad, and will be surprised when they are? Also, investors will become myopic and fail to look over the horizon when earning season starts in two weeks time. All and all, you feel the FED has blown it and it's out of hand and we need more selling to rebalance valuation to be more in tune to a domestics and for that matter a world wide economy that will not respond to a FED rate reductions or tax reductions. Is the above correct? Thanks, Greg

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (65915)	1/5/2001 1:36:01 AM
From: iod_sherwood	Respond to of 99985

You remind me of me... Message 15103663 While greenie "may" have lifted any worries of 6-10months from now. Near term issues will still remain paramount. After such a tumultuous year, you'd think maybe they'd wait out a few of the earnings announcements and see really which companies deserve attention and just how many were just instruments of wall streets IPO pump and dump scheme. Especially with a little more common sense back in the valuation of stocks, look for things like CHKP, NTIQ, NETE, BEAS to ratchet down.... even things like VRTS. ARBA is now consistently selling down on all rallies. They're distributing the shares nicely after convincing the populist investor that ARBA will change the world and is worth 100 times sales earlier last year. Another enlightening 2bits hopefully :)

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (65915)	1/5/2001 7:44:40 AM
From: flatsville	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Zeev- Greg, my timing for a late February early March bottom has a number of elements in it. Not least, is the timing of the FOMC, whether we get another fed cut or not,... My understanding is that the FOMC is not scheduled to meet in Feb. That has led to speculation that in addition to the recent cut, a cut at the Jan. meeting is needed and a given because Feb. is a blank month. Of course, they can always do an emergency cut in Feb. if necessary. If they do we are in more trouble than we know. That would be three cuts in two months. <ggg>