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To: elmatador who wrote (10096)1/8/2001 5:54:27 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12823
 
Wireless will canibalize fixed-line.

Do you think that wireless will unseat fiber fixed line as well as copper?

I am of the opinion that wireless will be a great niche solution, but that fixed line will always have a place and will be the dominant form of transport. (of course, I see the migration to fiber in the last mile as inevitable).



To: elmatador who wrote (10096)1/9/2001 9:08:56 AM
From: MikeM54321  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12823
 
"Bad customers in fixed. Slowly this will make fixed line uneconomic."

elmatador- Keep in mind it's hard to make it uneconomical for telcos when it's already paid for. And hard for subscriber to give it up when it works virtually 100% of the time you pick it up. It's still a $100 billion annual business(local loop revenues for voice and data, business and consumer). Not to many are predicting it to go away.

Consumer voice, which may be what you strictly refer to, may start to go the way you predict. I don't know? Ironically it has increased due to second line Internet use. Maybe once DSL and CM rollout, that should dramatically decrease the use of the second line? So far there is no talk of incumbent's consumers fixed line subscribers going away. But maybe you are ahead of them. -MikeM(From Florida)



To: elmatador who wrote (10096)1/9/2001 6:19:58 PM
From: Old Stock Collector  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12823
 
Wireless is to SLOW! My Wireless Laptop Internet Connection is only 14k while my wired phoneline gets 56k
and Internet Cable I still can't get it in my area.

So the wired lines will be around for a long time to come only because of the few choices we have.



To: elmatador who wrote (10096)1/10/2001 10:30:44 AM
From: Yogizuna  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12823
 
Your post reminds me of all the folks who were predicting the end of snail mail because of the fax machine, E-Mail and the Web. Of course in retrospect, those predictions were wildly overblown, just as the prediction of copper wires going away are. They will be around for many, many decades, just as "snail mail" will still be snailing around <g> decades from now with surprisingly high volume.