Eurpean Economies look strong: Here are few articles . recent data points to declining unemployment, strong holiday sales, and increased factory output. personal and corporate tax cut in Italy, Germany and France will help too.
European Economies: German Unemployment Declines (Update1) By Catherine Hickley and Andreas Cremer with reporting by Brian Parkin
Berlin, Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- The number of people out of work in Germany fell for a ninth straight month in December as rising exports prompted hiring in Europe's largest economy.
Unemployment declined by a greater-than-expected 27,000, after falling a revised 18,000 in November, one fifth more than originally reported, Federal Labor Office figures showed. The jobless rate declined to 9.2 percent, the lowest level since March 1995, from 9.3 percent, the Bundesbank reported.
Although growth in the 12-nation euro zone is beginning to slow, the economy is still likely to expand by some 3 percent this year, about the same pace of growth as the U.S, analysts said. That's likely to lead to a further decline in unemployment.
``We're definitely planning to add staff'' this year, said Christine Krepold, a spokeswoman for Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, Germany's No. 3 carmaker. BMW said it will hire as many as 1,000 people, on top of last year's 2,500 recruits, after soaring exports in 2000 boosted sales by 9 percent.
The nation's jobless rate, still twice as high as that of the U.S., has steadily declined from a post-war record of 11.8 percent in 1997. That's boosted the popularity of Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who faces regional elections in March, in Baden-Wuerttemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate.
``We expect a clear reduction in unemployment this year,'' said Labor Minister Walter Riester. The jobless total will probably fall by some 250,000, following a drop of 210,600 in 2000, the government predicted today.
ECB Rate Cut
The yield on interest rate futures contracts rose on speculation the European Central Bank may hold back from cutting interest rates for several more weeks, even after concern about slower U.S. economic growth prompted the Federal Reserve to reduce rates last week. The yield on the March three-month contract rose by 4 basis points to 4.53 percent.
German exports rose 27 percent in October from a year earlier to a record 111.3 billion deutsche marks ($53.9 billion), a separate report today from the Federal Statistics office showed. In a further sign that the nation's economic expansion is likely to continue, the government yesterday reported the first increase in industrial production in three months in November.
``The driving force for the labor market was demand from abroad for industrial goods,'' said Bernhard Jagoda, president of the Federal Labor Office.
German exporters may not be able to expect as much help from the euro as they got last year. In the last four months, Europe's single currency has risen by more than a tenth against the dollar, after shedding almost 30 percent of its value in the first 21 months of its existence. The strengthening of the euro makes European goods more expensive in export markets.
Tax Cuts
While export growth is likely to slow, many companies will benefit this year from higher spending in Germany, spurred by tax cuts, Labor Minister Riester said. The government has cut 45 billion deutsche marks ($21.7 billion) in income and corporation taxes this year, in an attempt to spur the economy.
``We see German car sales rising this year and one reason is the strength of the German economy,'' Helmut Panke, a management board member of BMW, said in an interview.
Schroeder's Social Democratic Party and the Green Party are counting on a further decline in unemployment to help win federal elections in 2002. Failure to cut joblessness was one reason Schroeder's predecessor, Helmut Kohl, lost the 1998 election.
Economists had predicted drop of 16,000 in the December jobless total, which fell to 3.77 million from 3.79 million. The jobless rate in Western Germany fell to 7.3 percent from 7.4 percent. Eastern Germany's unemployment rate also declined by a tenth of a percentage point, to 17.3 percent.
Companies Hire
Anecdotal evidence shows that many industries are hiring. Tecis Holding AG, a German financial services company that provides investment services, plans to hire 20 to 30 people at its Hamburg-based headquarters, and about 300 salesmen. ADVA AG Optical Networking, a German cable network maker, plans to expand its workforce by a third. Puma AG, Germany's No. 2 sporting-goods maker, said it will create new jobs at its regional branches.
Germany's economy is likely to expand 2.8 percent in 2001, down from 3.1 percent last year, according to a European Commission forecast made in November. The euro region's economy as a whole is likely to grow 3.2 percent compared with 3.5 percent in 2000, the European Union's executive agency.
The German economy created 36,000 jobs in October, today's report showed, though no employment figures were available for either November of December ------------------------------------------------------------- U.K. Xmas sales strong British consumers packed stockings with PlayStation 2, mobile phones January 9, 2001: 7:32 a.m. ET
LONDON (CNNfn) - British retailers rang up strong sales in the run-up to Christmas, with high-tech goods like mobile phones and Sony's PlayStation 2 filling consumers' stockings.
Games retailer Electronics Boutique PLC (EBQ) said Sony's new games console helped its to increase comparable sales by 15 percent in the last five weeks of 2000, while mobile-phone operators added 5.7 million new users in the three months ended Dec. 30, a quarterly record.
The British Retail Consortium said sales by U.K. retailers were up 3.4 percent in December from a year earlier, outpacing the 2.9 percent growth recorded in December 1999, but cautioned against interpreting the figures as a consumer boom. However, mainland European retailers Metro AG in Germany and France-based Carrefour SA also reported strong sales.
"Christmas shopping only really got under way from about Dec. 21, providing a test of nerve for retailers," the BRC said. "A good start to the sales was almost immediately disrupted by snow."
Britain's most famous toy store, Hamleys PLC, said on Monday like-for-like sales rose 10 percent in the five-week Christmas trading period, partly thanks to an upsurge in shopping online.
Hamleys said lively Christmas trading meant like-for-like sales were 4 percent higher in its fiscal first half, with its main store in Regents Street in Central London recording a 13 percent rise.
Transport hitches dent sales
But both Hamleys and Selfridges PLC (SLF), which sells designer brands at its flagship store on Oxford Street, London's premier shopping thoroughfare, said a crisis in Britain's public transport system meant the Christmas season had been weaker than they hoped. The country's rail network is undergoing a major overhaul, resulting in disrupted services, after a spate of accidents in recent years.
Selfridges said sales rose 1 percent in the six weeks to Jan. 6, with the Oxford Street store recording unchanged sales, while sales at its outlet at Trafford Centre in Manchester, northwest England, rose 22 percent in the same period.
"Our sales in Oxford Street have been affected by the disruption to rail services, but the effect has been offset by margin and cost improvements and the performance of Manchester," Chief Executive Vittorio Radice said in a statement.
British pub operator JD Wetherspoon (JDW) celebrated strong trading over Christmas, but wine retailer Majestic (MJW) suffered a millennium hangover.
Wetherspoon, which runs 466 pubs across the country, said comparable sales in the five weeks to Dec. 31 rose 10 percent.
Majestic's same-store sales fell 2.7 percent in the nine weeks to Jan. 1. The company faced an uphill task to match the level of demand triggered by 1999's millennium celebrations, an suffered a predictable decrease in champagne sales.
Selfridges, Wetherspoon up
Shares in Selfridges rose 3.1 percent to 316 pence by mid-session Tuesday, Wetherspoon jumped 6.5 percent to 368.5 pence and Electronics Boutique soared 11.5 percent to 68 pence in midday trade in London, but Majestic dropped 9.5 percent to 211.25 pence.
Dixons Group PLC (DXNS), Britain's biggest electronics retailer, is due to issue a trading statement Wednesday.
In continental Europe, French retailer Carrefour (PCA), the world's second-largest retailer after U.S. giant Wal-Mart Stores (WMT: Research, Estimates), said Monday sales in December rose to 7.9 billion ($7.5 billion), up 18.6 percent on a proforma basis from a year earlier. Company-wide sales for 2000 came to 73.1 billion, an increase of 25 percent.
Germany's Metro (FMEO) said sales in 2000 rose 7.1 percent to 91.8 billion marks ($44.56 billion), lifted by strong growth in its international business.
In Frankfurt, Metro shares were unchanged at 49.80, while Carrefour dipped 4.8 percent to 61.90 after as series of analysts lowered their recommendations on the stock. |