SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Ericsson overlook? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Oravetz who wrote (4465)1/13/2001 2:32:02 PM
From: Eric L  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5390
 
Re: 3G Equipment Contracts

>> Ericsson Shines The Way To 3G

By Margo McCall
Monday, January 8, 2001
Wireless Week

Ericsson began exploring third-generation technology nearly two decades ago. Now, as the technology matures, companies are lining up for the Swedish handset and equipment maker to light a path out of the dark forest of 3G.

Just as Ericsson got a head start in 3G technology, so it is emerging as a leader in 3G infrastructure contracts today. As operators in Asia and Europe ponder what to do with the 3G licenses they paid so dearly for, they are increasingly turning to Ericsson for help.

The company has secured 21 contracts from 30 companies needing 3G network equipment or terminals. That compares with 13 for Nokia, five for Motorola, five for the NEC-Siemens partnership, four for Nortel and one for Lucent. Although the contracts will comprise only a small portion of this year's revenue, 3G's revenue share is expected to rapidly increase as next-generation technology takes hold.

About 80 3G licenses have been awarded in Europe alone, yet only one-third of the contracts have been dished out so far. So it remains a sure bet that 2001 will see a continued burst of 3G business for vendors. "Most likely you will see more contracts awarded," says Lars Nilsson, Ericsson's manager of strategic marketing.

Ericsson's first customers were NTT DoCoMo, which plans to launch 3G service in May, and J-Phone, which will follow suit by the end of next year. Other customers range from big players such as the U.K.'s Vodafone and Orange plc to emerging companies such as Mobiltel of Slovenia and Spain's Xfera, which came to life with the award of a 3G license.

Most of the demand is for installation of entire networks, although some carriers, such as AT&T Wireless, are taking a multi-vendor approach to granting contracts for 3G Internet protocol cores, base stations, switches and terminals.

Virtually all of Ericsson's contracts are for wideband-CDMA, which makes sense since the company operates 17 W-CDMA test stations around the world and has been studying the technology since the 1980s.

By contrast, three of Motorola's five 3G contracts are for cdma2000 1x equipment for Sprint PCS, Alltel and Telefonica Moviles. Nilsson says demand for cdma2000 should take off as more carriers pick standards.

Vendors, for the most part, decline to disclose dollar amounts for 3G contracts, citing customers' confidentiality requirements. But the size of some contracts shows that 3G infrastructure revenue eventually may pack quite a punch. For instance, Motorola placed a more than $2 billion value on its contract to supply 3G equipment to Telsim, the first Turkish carrier to implement general packet radio services. Ericsson's contract to supply Leap Wireless with 3G base stations and switches, as well as help design and deploy the network, is worth $330 million; its agreement with Mobilkom is worth $1.4 billion. And Nokia's award of AT&T Wireless' IP core business is estimated above $1 billion. Nortel estimates that its four contracts so far are worth $2.1 billion.

Some 60,000 3G base stations are expected to be rolled out next year, and more than twice that in 2002, according to analysts at Lehman Brothers. Coming up with efficient manufacturing and component supply processes is expected to be a major challenge, as is assuring the availability of handsets.

But those aren't the only problems. Few have considered how 3G will generate revenue, says industry analyst Herschel Shosteck. Coupled with the number of base stations required to build out such networks and the rising unwillingness of financial institutions to fund telecom endeavors, 3G becomes "an economic absurdity," Shosteck says.

Still, in preparing to meet 3G demand, Ericsson is converting two former handset plants to 3G base station production. It plans to roll out its first 3G handset in 2002.

Although the world's largest infrastructure supplier, Ericsson of late has been bogged down by its money-losing handset division. So the 3G equipment contracts are providing a needed boost to Ericsson's bottom line.

In the meantime, the company already is looking ahead to 4G. That should help keep its flashlight batteries glowing bright well into the next decade. <<

- Eric -



To: Jim Oravetz who wrote (4465)1/15/2001 12:50:11 PM
From: Jim Oravetz  Respond to of 5390
 
Nokia, Symbian to Pioneer Color-Screen Mobile Phones
By DAVID PRINGLE
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

A new color-screen mobile phone and personal organizer being developed by Nokia Corp. and operating-system ally Symbian Ltd. could beat similar products using Microsoft Corp. software to the market by at least several months.


Microsoft had hoped phones with color screens running its Pocket PC operating system would be available in the first half of 2001, but an official of the Redmond, Washington, software concern said last week that the first such products won't be released until the second half.

Nokia plans to launch its 9210 Communicator phone, which uses Symbian's operating system, in March or April in Europe and Asia. A U.S. launch hasn't yet been scheduled. In addition to a color screen, the device offers wireless Internet access, e-mail, a video player, personal organizer functions, word processing and spreadsheet programs.

If Nokia and Symbian are indeed first to the market with a high-end device, it would mark a setback for computer makers such as Compaq Computer Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co., which plan to use the Microsoft technology. These companies face a dramatic slowdown in the cutthroat personal computer market, so they are targeting the market for these kinds of hybrid devices in search of sales growth. U.K.-based research firm Strategy Analytics forecasts that in 2004 more than 78 million dual-purpose personal organizers-mobile phones will be sold world-wide, compared with just two million last year.

In an interview last week soon after Mitsubishi Corp. unveiled a monochrome Pocket PC phone, Dilip Mistry, Microsoft's mobility marketing manager in Europe, said: "We will have a workable [color-screen] product in six months." Microsoft's hardware partners are still developing batteries and screens light and cheap enough to use in a color personal organizer with a built-in phone, he said, since the color screens use far more battery power than do monochrome screens.

But Nitesh Patel, an analyst with Strategy Analytics, doesn't think the hardware is to blame for the delay. "The main issue here is that the Pocket PC [system] is relatively inefficient compared to the Symbian platform," he said, a conclusion that Microsoft rejects.

A spokeswoman for Compaq confirmed that a phone version of its iPaq organizer, which uses the Pocket PC system, won't be available until the second half of the year.

In any case, the launch of the 9210 should provide a boost for Symbian, the London-based consortium, which is vying with Microsoft and Palm Inc. to become the dominant player in the market for personal-organizer operating systems. Symbian, which is owned by Psion PLC, Nokia, Telefon AB L.M. Ericsson, Motorola Inc. and Matsushita Electric Industrial Co., is hoping the color screen of the 9210 will provide an eye-catching showcase for its software.

Palm, of Santa Clara, California, the leading supplier of personal organizers, declined to say which companies planned to use its operating system for color-screen devices.

Tarmo Jukarainen, senior product manager at Nokia, said that the 9210 uses "power-management techniques" to enable a user to hold between four and 10 hours of phone conversations without needing to recharge the battery. Japanese phone makers have been producing sophisticated color phones for the domestic market for about a year, although these handsets generally don't include video players, word processing or other productivity features found on the 9210.

The Pocket PC phones envisaged by Microsoft would look like today's personal organizers. In contrast, the 9210 resembles a conventional handset, but it flips open like a laptop to reveal a keypad with 60 buttons and a screen running the length of the device. At a demonstration in London, the 9210's high-resolution display coped well with the fast action sequences in a video trailer for Walt Disney Co.'s Tarzan cartoon film.

Although the early arrival of the 9210 may suggest that Nokia has a technological lead on rivals in Europe, Peter Richardson, a London-based analyst with Gartner Group, a U.S.-based research firm, believes the device lacks an important feature. He says the 9210 isn't compatible with the GPRS, or general packet radio services, technology being deployed by most European mobile-phone operators to speed up wireless Internet access. Although other phone makers are rolling out GPRS handsets, Nokia maintains that this technology is still too immature. Some devices being developed with the Pocket PC system are expected to be GPRS-compatible.

Moreover, the 9210 Communicator weighs a hefty 244 grams and its predecessors -- which admittedly were even larger and had monochrome screens -- didn't have a huge impact. Although Nokia doesn't reveal sales figures for individual phones, Mr. Richardson estimates that the company has sold one million Communicators since they were first launched in 1996.

Although that is only a tiny fraction of the 128 million phones Nokia sold in 2000, Mr. Richardson points out that the margins on these high-end devices are much larger than on conventional mobile phones. Like other Nokia handsets, the 9210 will be sold by mobile phone operators with a wireless contract at a subsidized price, but Gartner estimates it would sell at $700 (735 euros) unsubsidized.