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To: Theophile who wrote (1798)1/17/2001 10:50:58 PM
From: axial  Respond to of 46821
 
Hello, might as well dip my oar back in the water! To what extent there is "coercion" is moot: are market realities "coercion"? One of the earliest lessons children learn is that the piper must be paid.

This topic started as a spinoff from the subject of deregulation, and the more conservative approach that Europeans take to it. While their views might make a free-enterpriser gag, it is unlikely that they would permit the situation that exists in California to arise. We discussed, for a while, the French implementation of nuclear power, and the relative freedom it has given them from uncertainties in fossil fuel availability.

A coherent and rational plan to ensure that light, heat and power are available to citizens at all times serves the public interest. Personally, I view the abandonment of power generation to "market forces", alone, as madness. And despite the rationalizations, you cannot "hedge" an empty pipe into emitting natural gas, when there is none.

If the market forces that the deregulation crowd so favored are "coercion", then I fear we can expect more of the same. The effects are spreading well beyond California...

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

B.C. alarmed as California utility faces bankruptcy

Millions at risk for B.C. Hydro in California power crisis

Chris Nuttall-Smith Vancouver Sun with Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg

B.C.'s finance ministry was anxiously watching one of California's largest utilities Tuesday after the company, which buys millions of dollars of power from B.C. Hydro, teetered toward bankruptcy.

Southern California Edison shook the financial community by announcing it would not make $596 million US in payments due to various creditors, so it could "preserve cash."

Of that sum, $215 million is owed to the California Power Exchange, the company that brokers electricity sales from producers, including B.C. Hydro, to buyers.

Adding to the alarm down south, Pacific Gas & Electric Co., California's other major electricity utility, has a $583-million US payment due on Feb. 1 that will exhaust its cash reserves.

In Victoria, finance ministry officials -- and Finance Minister Paul Ramsey -- were watching the situation closely.

"Obviously our minister is anxious -- he's been asking the same questions too," said Susan Gee, director of communications for the finance ministry.

Those questions include just how much Southern California Edison owes B.C. Hydro, and what Tuesday's events will mean for future sales to the California Power Exchange.

Neither Gee nor Stephen Bruyneel, a spokesman for Hydro, could say how much the utility is owed.

"Those questions you're asking us we've been asking ourselves this afternoon," Gee said.

Bruyneel said Hydro had not received any indication from Southern California Edison that it would have trouble meeting its payments. He added that Hydro had no immediate reason to change the way it does business with the utility.

Paul Klein, a Southern California Edison spokesman, said late Tuesday that power from B.C, Hydro helped save the state from rolling blackouts just last Thursday.

B.C. Hydro's export arm, called Powerex, has boasted of huge profits from sales of electricity abroad in 2000. According to the company's Internet site, export sales last year totalled more than $1.1 billion Cdn, up from $740 million the year before and just $340 million in 1998.

Much of that revenue comes from California, where dry conditions have cut the ability to generate hydro-electric power and a surge in the state's economy has created unprecedented demand for electricity.

In just four days last summer, for example, B.C. Hydro reaped a $60-million Cdn profit from sales to the Western U.S., the Crown corporation reported at the time. Although up-to-date figures were not immediately available Tuesday evening, Victoria skimmed 85 per cent of Hydro's profit, totalling $5.5 billion, between 1991 and January 1999.

The province also earns directly a share of sales from power generated downstream on the Columbia River, said David Austin, a Vancouver energy lawyer and vocal B.C. Hydro critic. Austin estimated that downstream revenue at $350 million per year.

California developed a plan in 1996 to deregulate its electricity business. It was supposed to lower electricity costs by creating competition, but instead it caused electricity costs to skyrocket.

But while the result has been that the two largest utilities in California, Southern California Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric, have faced soaring costs for electricity, they haven't been allowed to pass the full cost on to consumers.

According to Southern California Edison, the average price of electricity in December last year increased 900 per cent compared to the same month the year before.

Early Tuesday, the three agencies rating company credit-worthiness downgraded Southern California Edison's debt deep into junk status. Standard & Poor's also cut ratings on Pacific Gas & Electric to junk grade.

The crisis has in recent days escalated into a wider threat, with shares of lender banks among those coming under pressure. Fears that the two giant utilities could go bankrupt also sent shudders through California's business community Tuesday.

California lawmakers rushed to try to get a bill through the state assembly Tuesday that would allow the state to buy wholesale electricity and sell it either to the utilities or directly to consumers.

Adding to the crisis, the California Independent System Operator, which runs most of the state's power grid, declared a so-called Stage Three emergency on Tuesday, its highest level alert, after reserves dropped below 1.5 per cent of demand. Such low reserves raise the threat of state-wide blackouts.

vancouversun.com



To: Theophile who wrote (1798)1/17/2001 10:57:20 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 46821
 
You seem to have this bizarre fixation with Ollie North...

Personally I was always more fixated with Fawn Hall...

You talk about unscheduled maintenance... Well, exactly when are they supposed to maintain these plants? Afterall, they were facing power shortages all summer long and the winter was supposed to be a slower period for them.
You have to maintain them or they stop working completely (or blow up). In the link below, you'll discover this interesting fact:

"About 60 percent of the state's energy is produced by power plants built at least 40 years ago....Increasingly, those plants need to be repaired, said Gary Heath, executive director of the state's Electricty Oversight Board,"

And btw, they were discussing these maintenance periods as early as last September. Thus, this is not exactly a surprise:

ocregister.com

And even if all of those plants were up and running, the cost would still surpass the price they are permitted to charge customers because the price of natural gas would increase even more as these plants came online.

What is transparently "so" is that you believe the government should be able to force private power generators to subsidize the energy markets and operate at a loss.

These california utilities have racked up $12 Billion in debt which they used to pay for power last summer and before which they weren't permitted to sell at either cost or at a profit.

I told you NO, THEY ARE NOT USING COERCION.

And they sure as hell ARE NOT GOING TO GO BANKRUPT just to bail out California power customers.

This situation has been long-brewing and this convergence of events will not suddenly go away when these plants come back up online.

And don't you even believe that the California Public Utilities commission couldn't immediately order these plants back into operation were it not the actual case that they require maintenance that has been deferred through the summer and as a result of preparing for Y2K (there's that acronym again, eh?)

And btw, since when do "the people" suddenly have the right, through the power of the vote, to force a company into operating at a loss?

There's your coercion...

Regards,

Ron